Skip to main content
NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc.Hold5.7·$132.22-2.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

NWPX Infrastructure shows a strong growth profile and a perfect earnings beat streak, but having already reached its analyst price target, the engine's momentum and asymmetry gates now flag the risk/reward as unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Reached Limited UpsideStable
  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak CatalystStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. (NWPX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells water-related infrastructure products in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Water Transmission Systems (WTS); and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems... Read more

$132.22+12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.90%
Stop $122.96Target $148.99(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst target$109.33-17.3%3 analysts
$148.99our TP
$132.22price
$109.33mean
$90
$149

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.8
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA19.3
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE10.7%
Rev Growth19.1%
Beta1.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas and Utah, which we estimate represented approximately 42% and 52%, respectively, of Precast net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicUtah52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas and Utah, which we estimate represented approximately 42% and 52%, respectively, of Precast net sales for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $118.51Resistance $152.03

Price Targets

$123
$149
A.Upside+12.7%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWPX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $148.99 (+12.7%), stop $122.96 (−7.5%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWPX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.99 (+12.7% upside). Target $148.99 (+12.7%), stop $122.96 (−7.5%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Stop-loss: $122.96.

What are the risks of investing in NWPX?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Utah (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is NWPX overvalued or undervalued?

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.8 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWPX?

7 analysts cover NWPX with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $109.

What does NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. do?NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells water-related infrastructure products...

NWPX Infrastructure, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells water-related infrastructure products in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Water Transmission Systems (WTS); and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems (Precast). The WTS segment manufactures large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems for use in water infrastructure applications, which are primarily related to drinking water systems. Its products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, seismic resiliency, and other applications. Its products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, seismic resiliency, and other applications. The Precast segment offers stormwater and wastewater technology products, precast, and reinforced concrete products, including reinforced concrete pipe, manholes, box culverts, vaults and catch basins, pump lift stations, oil water separators, biofiltration units, and other environmental and engineered solutions. It provides its products under the NWPX Geneva and NWPX Park brand names; and manufactures engineered water transmission systems and produces steel casing pipe, bar-wrapped concrete cylinder pipe, and pipeline system joints and fittings under the Northwest Pipe Company brand. In addition, the company provides solution-based products for various markets, including reinforced precast concrete products, lined precast sanitary sewer system structures, water distribution and management equipment including pump lift stations, wastewater pretreatment, and stormwater quality products. Further, it sells water infrastructure products to installation contractors. The company was formerly known as Northwest Pipe Company and changed its name to NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. in June 2025. NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

Related stocks: GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · SIM (Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.) · CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.) · WS (Worthington Steel, Inc.)
Home Stocks NWPX

Latest news

No recent news