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NUNu Holdings Ltd.Hold6.4·$14.41+2.62%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nu Holdings is delivering 44% revenue growth and a 30% return on equity, ranking best-in-class among regional bank peers on both margins and growth, but faces a negative news modifier from recent sentiment of -1.00, consecutive earnings misses, and is trading below the 200-day moving average in a recovering downtrend.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • Best In Class Growth And RoeStable
  • Negative News Sentiment ModifierImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+... Read more

$14.41+11.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#59 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $13.49Target $16.18(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$17.98+24.8%22 analysts
$16.18our TP
$14.41price
$17.98mean
$10
$22

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31

Recent Developments — Nu Holdings Ltd.

Generated 2026-07-31T02:43:38Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$67.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn41.9%
ROE30.1%
Rev Growth43.7%
Beta0.95
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 14 days

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
5.3
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.09Resistance $14.85

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.41, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $16.18 (+12.3%), stop $13.49 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.18 (+11.7% upside). Target $16.18 (+12.3%), stop $13.49 (−6.8%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $13.49.

What are the risks of investing in NU?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NU overvalued or undervalued?

Nu Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NU?

26 analysts cover NU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Nu Holdings Ltd. do?Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United...

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card. In addition, it offers savings and investing solutions, including Money Boxes, a solution for goal-based investing; investing solutions, an attractive investment product with customized and conflict-free guidance; and NuCrypto, a solution for buying and selling cryptocurrencies through the Nu app. Further, the company provides borrowing solutions comprising personal unsecured and secured loans; Pix financing that enables credit card and digital account customers to make free and instant peer-to-peer transfers; Boleto financing, which enables credit card and digital account customers to make payments; purchase financing; cash-in financing; and NuPay to make online purchases and pay for services through Nu app. Additionally, it offers protection solutions, such as NuInsurance protection solutions, including life, mobile, auto, home, and financial protection insurance policies; and beyond financial services solutions, including NuTravel, a travel portal; and NuCel, a mobile phone service. Nu Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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