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MSMorgan StanleySell6.0·$219.41+2.51%
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Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $219.41 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.1% away).

Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm operating through Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management segments from headquarters in New York with principal offices in London, Frankfurt, Tokyo, and Hong Kong. Revenue comes from trading,... Read more

$219.41-1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#16 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.87%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout35.55%sustainable
Stop $207.29Target $216.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$203.67-7.2%21 analysts
$216.19our TP
$219.41price
$203.67mean
$165
$230

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $219.41 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$337.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.8%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth16.3%
Beta1.22
Dividend1.87%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$115-47.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.3
Value Rank
4.8
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $188.94Resistance $220.60

Price Targets

$207
$216
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $219.41 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $207.29. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $216.19 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $207.29. Stop-loss: $207.29.

What are the risks of investing in MS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.0): -1.5.

Is MS overvalued or undervalued?

Morgan Stanley trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MS?

32 analysts cover MS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $204.

What does Morgan Stanley do?Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm operating through Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and...

Morgan Stanley is a global financial services firm operating through Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management segments from headquarters in New York with principal offices in London, Frankfurt, Tokyo, and Hong Kong. Revenue comes from trading, underwriting, investment banking, wealth management fees, and asset management fees serving corporations, governments, institutions, and individuals worldwide.

Related stocks: SCHW (Charles Schwab Corporation (The) · GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)) · IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.) · HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.)
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