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MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.Hold5.8·$24.32+0.08%
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Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Pediatrix Medical Group provides physician services in newborn, maternal-fetal, and pediatric subspecialty care through approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians across 37 states, primarily staffing hospital-based NICUs. Revenue is earned from hospital and third-party payor... Read more

$24.32-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.20%
Stop $23.00Target $24.23(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$23.17-4.7%6 analysts
$24.23our TP
$24.32price
$23.17mean
$19
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA8.6
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$13-48.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicTexas32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Texas accounted for approximately 32% of our net revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the Second Amended and Restated 2008 Incentive Compensation Plan at the 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing shares available by 8,000,000. Routine compensatory arrangement amendment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
90 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.96Resistance $24.72

Price Targets

$23
$24
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $24.23 (-0.4%), stop $23.00 (−5.7%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.23 (-0.4% upside). Target $24.23 (-0.4%), stop $23.00 (−5.7%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $23.00.

What are the risks of investing in MD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas (32.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Is MD overvalued or undervalued?

Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MD?

15 analysts cover MD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. do?Pediatrix Medical Group provides physician services in newborn, maternal-fetal, and pediatric subspecialty care through...

Pediatrix Medical Group provides physician services in newborn, maternal-fetal, and pediatric subspecialty care through approximately 2,295 affiliated physicians across 37 states, primarily staffing hospital-based NICUs. Revenue is earned from hospital and third-party payor reimbursement; Texas accounted for approximately 32% of net revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: AVAH (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc) · THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.) · ARDT (Ardent Health, Inc.)
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