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INNVInnovAge Holding Corp.Sell5.5·$9.11-0.44%
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InnovAge Holding Corp. (INNV) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in its homes and communities. It manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. The... Read more

$9.11+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.47%
Stop $8.47Target $9.28(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$7.00-23.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 8, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-34.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -65.5%), Material insider selling (40 sells, 0.18% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)24.1
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA51.5
Profit Mgn-1.2%
ROE-5.9%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta0.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
7.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.5
52w Position
7.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.4
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
4.1
Fcf Quality
4.7
Moat
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Gross Margin
9.7
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 6%, FCF yield 4.5%)Rule of 40: 21 (fail)Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
2.0
Llm Sentiment
4.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesA.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.04Resistance $9.47

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-34.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -65.5%), Material insider selling (40 sells, 0.18% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-08 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INNV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.47. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INNV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.28 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.47. Stop-loss: $8.47.

What are the risks of investing in INNV?

Target reached (-34.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -65.5%), Material insider selling (40 sells, 0.18% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is INNV overvalued or undervalued?

InnovAge Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INNV?

9 analysts cover INNV with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $7.

What does InnovAge Holding Corp. do?InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and...

InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in its homes and communities. It manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. The company also offers in-home care services consisting of skilled, unskilled, and personal care; in-center services, such as primary care, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, dental services, mental health and psychiatric services, meals, and activities; transportation to and from the PACE center and third-party medical appointments; and care management. It serves participants in the United States; and operates PACE centers in Colorado, California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Virginia. The company was formerly known as TCO Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to InnovAge Holding Corp. in January 2021. InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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