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MARMarriott InternationalSell5.2·$400.61-0.48%
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Marriott International (MAR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $400.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties under a portfolio of compelling brands at different price and service points. Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease... Read more

$400.61+0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.69%
IncomeYield0.73%(5y avg 1.29%)Payout28.06%sustainable
Stop $382.24Target $402.76(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$377.67-5.7%24 analysts
$402.76our TP
$400.61price
$377.67mean
$272
$446

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $400.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.2
P/E (Fwd)30.8
Mkt Cap$106.1B
EV/EBITDA26.0
Profit Mgn36.0%
ROE
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.73%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.2
Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
4.1
Forward P/E: 30.8xPEG: 2.39Expensive valuation

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
5.6
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $352.25Resistance $410.98

Price Targets

$382
$403
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $400.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $382.24. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $402.76 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $382.24. Stop-loss: $382.24.

What are the risks of investing in MAR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away); Expensive valuation.

Is MAR overvalued or undervalued?

Marriott International trades at a P/E of 42.2 (forward 30.8). TrendMatrix value score: 2.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAR?

31 analysts cover MAR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $378.

What does Marriott International do?We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties...

We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties under a portfolio of compelling brands at different price and service points. Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease very few of our lodging properties (less than one percent of our system).

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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