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LPGDorian LPG Ltd.Buy Wait7.0·$42.99-4.87%
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Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $40.96. At $42.99 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $40.96 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide. It owns and operates twenty-eight very large gas carriers. Dorian LPG Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford,... Read more

$42.99+8.8% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#6 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.61%
IncomeYield6.53%Payout53.96%sustainable
Entry $40.96(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $37.26Target $44.54(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$51.20+19.1%5 analysts
$44.54our TP
$42.99price
$51.20mean
$55

Wait for pullback to $40.96. At $42.99 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $40.96 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Value play: 34% MoS with quality 7.9. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.4%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)15.0
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn40.8%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth105.2%
Beta0.76
Dividend6.53%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV174%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 653.0%
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $39.82Resistance $48.12

Price Targets

$37
$41
$45
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LPG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.96. At $42.99 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $40.96 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Value play: 34% MoS with quality 7.9. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $44.54 (+3.6%), stop $37.26 (−15.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LPG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.54 (+8.8% upside). Target $44.54 (+3.6%), stop $37.26 (−15.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $37.26.

What are the risks of investing in LPG?

Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is LPG overvalued or undervalued?

Dorian LPG Ltd. trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 15.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LPG?

11 analysts cover LPG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Dorian LPG Ltd. do?Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its...

Dorian LPG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas through its LPG tankers worldwide. It owns and operates twenty-eight very large gas carriers. Dorian LPG Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

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