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TENTsakos Energy Navigation LtdHold7.3·$38.77+4.47%
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Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~52% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG... Read more

$38.77+0.9% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#2 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.58%(5y avg 3.37%)Payout26.10%sustainable
Stop $36.06Target $39.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$46.00+18.6%2 analysts
$39.10our TP
$38.77price
$46.00mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~52% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
High-quality business
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~52% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.3
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn24.8%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth28.4%
Beta-0.29
Dividend2.58%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C11.83bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.13Resistance $45.85

Price Targets

$36
$39
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 13x vs trail 6x (2.1x)
! Target reached (0.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $38.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~52% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $39.10 (+0.9%), stop $36.06 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.10 (+0.9% upside). Target $39.10 (+0.9%), stop $36.06 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $36.06.

What are the risks of investing in TEN?

Earnings expected to decline ~52% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is TEN overvalued or undervalued?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd trades at a P/E of 6.3 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TEN?

7 analysts cover TEN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd do?Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product...

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services in Greece and internationally. The company owns and operates various vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, Aframax, Panamax, Handysize, MR, LNG carrier, and shuttle DP2 tankers. It also provides marine transportation services for national, major, and other independent oil companies and refiners. The company was formerly known as MIF Limited and changed its name to Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited in July 2001. Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · FRO (Frontline Plc) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
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