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LCIILCI IndustriesBuy Wait6.0·$92.89-0.19%
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LCI Industries (LCII) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Wait for pullback to $91.28. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $92.89. Engine's entry $91.28 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%).

LCI Industries (Lippert Components) supplies engineered components to RV, marine, transportation, and housing OEMs plus aftermarket channels through two segments: OEM (77% of 2025 net sales) and Aftermarket (23%). It generated $4.1B consolidated net sales in 2025, with RV OEM... Read more

$92.89+39.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.64%
IncomeYield4.94%(5y avg 3.64%)Payout56.37%sustainable
Entry $91.28(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $83.46Target $127.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1Setup A.R:R 7.7:1
Analyst target$146.00+57.2%10 analysts
$127.02our TP
$92.89price
$146.00mean
$185

Wait for pullback to $91.28. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $92.89. Engine's entry $91.28 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 16, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.18
Dividend4.94%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.56bearish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$80-13.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerBerkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes)18%
    10-K Item 1: 'Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (through its subsidiaries Forest River, Inc. and Clayton Homes, Inc.)... accounted for 18 percent... of our consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHCustomerThor Industries15%
    10-K Item 1: 'Thor Industries, Inc. ("Thor"), a customer of both segments, accounted for 15 percent... of our consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHProducttravel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 54 percent of our OEM Segment net sales in 2025 were from products to manufacturers of travel trailer and fifth-wheel RVs'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    James F. Gero will not stand for re-election to the LCI Industries Board when his term expires at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Decision not due to any disagreement with the Company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.41Resistance $114.02

Price Targets

$83
$91
$127
A.Upside+36.7%
A.R:R4.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)7.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LCII stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $91.28. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $92.89. Engine's entry $91.28 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 16, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $127.02 (+36.7%), stop $83.46 (−11.3%), Setup A.R:R 7.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LCII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.02 (+39.0% upside). Target $127.02 (+36.7%), stop $83.46 (−11.3%), Setup A.R:R 7.7:1. Stop-loss: $83.46.

What are the risks of investing in LCII?

Concentration risk — Customer: Berkshire Hathaway (Forest River and Clayton Homes) (18.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Thor Industries (15.0%); Negative momentum.

Is LCII overvalued or undervalued?

LCI Industries trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LCII?

17 analysts cover LCII with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $146.

What does LCI Industries do?LCI Industries (Lippert Components) supplies engineered components to RV, marine, transportation, and housing OEMs plus...

LCI Industries (Lippert Components) supplies engineered components to RV, marine, transportation, and housing OEMs plus aftermarket channels through two segments: OEM (77% of 2025 net sales) and Aftermarket (23%). It generated $4.1B consolidated net sales in 2025, with RV OEM sales representing ~$1.9B.

Related stocks: PATK (Patrick Industries, Inc.) · DOO (BRP Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · THO (Thor Industries, Inc.) · PII (Polaris Inc.)
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