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PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.Sell5.7·$86.70+1.14%
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Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.70: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%), Powersports (10%), and Industrial (13%) markets, operating ~191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouses in 25 states. Revenue from Manufacturing (74%) and... Read more

$86.70+19.9% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 7 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.94%
IncomeYield2.17%(5y avg 1.87%)Payout44.73%sustainable
Stop $80.63Target $103.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$119.50+37.8%10 analysts
$103.97our TP
$86.70price
$119.50mean
$140

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.70: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth-0.6%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.17%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.58bearish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$60-30.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
5.7
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.35Resistance $95.99

Price Targets

$81
$104
A.Upside+19.9%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PATK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $86.70: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $80.63. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PATK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.97 (+19.9% upside). Prior stop was $80.63. Stop-loss: $80.63.

What are the risks of investing in PATK?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PATK overvalued or undervalued?

Patrick Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PATK?

16 analysts cover PATK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Patrick Industries, Inc. do?Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%),...

Patrick Industries is a leading component solutions provider for RV (45% of 2025 net sales), MH (17%), Marine (15%), Powersports (10%), and Industrial (13%) markets, operating ~191 manufacturing plants and 50 warehouses in 25 states. Revenue from Manufacturing (74%) and Distribution (26%) segments; Forest River and Thor combined account for 28% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: LCII (LCI Industries) · DOO (BRP Inc.) · BC (Brunswick Corporation) · THO (Thor Industries, Inc.) · PII (Polaris Inc.)
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