Hawkins trades near its analyst target at 29.4x forward earnings with declining revenue and an inconsistent earnings track record — the 1.3% upside to target and risk/reward of 0.21 to 1 do not compensate for the combination of a rich multiple and near-term execution uncertainty.
Thesis pillars
- Minimal Upside At Target↑Improving
- Rich Valuation Weak Revenue↑Improving
- Alternating Beat Miss Pattern→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $118.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $118.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-23Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Aug 14, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: HAWKINS, INC. | | Date: August 14, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Latest news
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Expected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS HAWKINS ($HWKN) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Projected to Post Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-08-23T02:41:59Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-14Item 5.02MEDIUMHAWKINS, INC. | | Date: August 14, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Vice President, General Counsel and SecretarySEC filing →
- 2026-05-19Item 5.02MEDIUMHAWKINS, INC. | | Date: May 19, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp | | | | Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp | | | | Executive Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerSEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $118.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.7/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $115.16. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.11 (+24.5% upside). Prior stop was $115.16. Stop-loss: $115.16.
Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak overall score: 4.7/10; Weak growth.
Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 23.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $174.
What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.