Hawkins trades near its analyst target at 29.4x forward earnings with declining revenue and an inconsistent earnings track record — the 1.3% upside to target and risk/reward of 0.21 to 1 do not compensate for the combination of a rich multiple and near-term execution uncertainty.
Thesis pillars
- Minimal Upside At Target↓Deteriorating
- Rich Valuation Weak Revenue↓Deteriorating
- Alternating Beat Miss Pattern↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 13, 2026
Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $154.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $154.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Hawkins, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Expected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Can Acquisitions Offset Chemical Pricing When Hawkins (NASDAQ:HWKN) Posts Fiscal Second-Quarter Earnings Next Monday? - — kalkine.ca neutral
- NEWS Hawkins (HWKN) Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS HAWKINS ($HWKN) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
Generated 2026-10-29T13:34:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-08-14Item 5.02MEDIUMHAWKINS, INC. | | Date: August 14, 2026 | | By: | | /s/ Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Daniel A. Louismet | | | | Vice President, General Counsel and SecretarySEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $154.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Prior stop was $144.06. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $147.90 reached (−4.0% from $154.06); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $144.06. Stop-loss: $144.06.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Hawkins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.4 (forward 32.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover HWKN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $174.
What does Hawkins, Inc. do?We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and...
We are a leading water treatment and specialty ingredients company that formulates, manufactures, distributes, and blends products for our Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions customers. We believe that we create value for our customers through superb service and support, quality products, personalized applications and trustworthy, creative employees.