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WDFCWD-40 CompanySell5.4·$223.01-0.50%
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WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $223.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%).

WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in 176+ countries and homecare/cleaning products (being divested) in select markets, with ~714 employees across 18 countries. Approximately 66% of fiscal 2025 net... Read more

$223.01-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#17 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.16%
IncomeYield1.76%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout65.20%
Stop $210.13Target $222.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$249.50+11.9%2 analysts
$222.17our TP
$223.01price
$249.50mean
$270

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $223.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 9, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.9
P/E (Fwd)35.0
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA27.0
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE31.3%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta0.29
Dividend1.76%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside of the U.S.)66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales outside the U.S. were approximately 66% of consolidated net sales in fiscal year 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Ken Allen Plunk appointed to Board of Directors effective February 18, 2026, also serving on Audit and Finance Committees. Former CFO of J&J Snack Foods and senior executive at Walmart. Routine board appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
7.7

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
2.9
Forward Pe
3.0
Pe
3.3
Ps
7.1
Forward P/E: 35.0xPEG: 4.30
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $192.88Resistance $226.70

Price Targets

$210
$222
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $223.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $210.13. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $222.17 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $210.13. Stop-loss: $210.13.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 37.9 (forward 35.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WDFC?

10 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $250.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in...

WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in 176+ countries and homecare/cleaning products (being divested) in select markets, with ~714 employees across 18 countries. Approximately 66% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from outside the U.S., with the largest customer below 10% of consolidated sales.

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