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HSAIHesai GroupHold6.1·$19.17+3.68%
HSAI · Why this verdict

Why Hesai (HSAI) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.4/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E3.2
P/S9.7
Fwd P/E6.3
PEG8.7
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 20.4x
  • PEG: 0.71
  • Attractively valued

Quality

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE2.4
ROA0.0
Gross margin4.2
Op margin0.0
Net margin7.4
Current ratio8.0
Moat5.6
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

9.9/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth9.9
  • Strong growth: 30% YoY

Momentum

1.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD1.0
OBV1.0
MA position1.5
Volume2.6
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Sentiment

8.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment6.8
Analyst rating9.0
Price target9.7
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.35 (n=5)
  • Analyst upside: 57%

Insider

5.1/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.2
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.4
quality rank6.7
growth rank8.4
  • Best-in-class margins
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.1
support resistance8.5
52w position2.4
gap4.0

Risk (lower is worse)

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.9
days to cover7.6
volatility0.0
put call5.1
implied vol0.0
beta5.6
debt equity0.0
news risk5.0
  • High IV: 82%

Catalyst

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
news activity8.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.0>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:66d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:1.9<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.03
Upside
+41.7%
Downside
13.8%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupFALLING_KNIFE Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.34>1.3, MCap $2.9B<$5B

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.6 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 9.9) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.9<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.03 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.9, Sentiment at 8.5, and Value at 7.4; the weakest are Momentum at 1.9, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.9, and Quality at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.03 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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