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HLHecla Mining CompanyBuy Wait6.6·$16.32+6.70%
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Hecla Mining Company (HL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Wait for pullback to $15.93. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.32. Engine's entry $15.93 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc.

Hecla Mining is a silver and gold mining company operating four segments: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44.3% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22.2%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 10.5%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23.0%, pending sale to Orezone for up to $593M). The company produces... Read more

$16.32+41.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#3 of 10 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.70%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.50%)Payout2.17%sustainable
Entry $15.93(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $13.89Target $22.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1Setup A.R:R 5.9:1
Analyst target$25.53+56.4%9 analysts
$22.21our TP
$16.32price
$25.53mean
$32

Wait for pullback to $15.93. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.32. Engine's entry $15.93 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.18, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.2
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$10.3B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn16.8%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth100.4%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditysilver, gold, lead and zinc
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operating results are substantially dependent upon the prices of silver, gold, lead and zinc, which can fluctuate widely.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerrelatively small number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant amount of revenue from a relatively small number of customers and occasionally enter into concentrate spot market sales with metal traders.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Hecla completed full redemption of remaining $263M 7.25% Senior Notes due 2028 on April 9, 2026, terminating the Indenture, First Supplemental Indenture, and Second Supplemental Indenture with BNY Mellon as trustee.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 2.04LOW
    Redemption of $263M 7.25% Senior Notes on April 9, 2026 constitutes a triggering event accelerating the financial obligation under the Indenture. Voluntary full redemption without default.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    Director Stephen F. Ralbovsky retired from Hecla Board effective Feb 19, 2026 (board member since 2016). Jill Satre appointed as Audit Committee Chair as successor. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
4.2
Bollinger
5.2
Extreme gap up (8.4%) - may pull back

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.6
Quality Rank
5.1
GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.80Resistance $18.13

Price Targets

$14
$16
$22
A.Upside+36.1%
A.R:R2.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)5.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts18
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target$26

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.93. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.32. Engine's entry $15.93 (Gap Fill 50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.18, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $22.21 (+36.1%), stop $13.89 (−17.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.9:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.21 (+41.6% upside). Target $22.21 (+36.1%), stop $13.89 (−17.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.9:1. Stop-loss: $13.89.

What are the risks of investing in HL?

Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc.

Is HL overvalued or undervalued?

Hecla Mining Company trades at a P/E of 22.2 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HL?

18 analysts cover HL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Hecla Mining Company do?Hecla Mining is a silver and gold mining company operating four segments: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44.3% of 2025 metals...

Hecla Mining is a silver and gold mining company operating four segments: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44.3% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22.2%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 10.5%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23.0%, pending sale to Orezone for up to $593M). The company produces silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper concentrates and doré sold to smelters, metal traders, and refiners globally.

Related stocks: BVN (Buenaventura Mining Company Inc) · TFPM (Triple Flag Precious Metals Cor) · ASM (Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.) · MUX (McEwen Inc.) · SBSW (D/B/A Sibanye-Stillwater Limite)
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