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BVNBuenaventura Mining Company IncBuy Wait7.0·$28.61
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Buenaventura has compounded strong returns through four consecutive earnings beats averaging 61% above consensus, backed by a 26% return on equity, 48% operating margins, and a wide economic moat — all trading at a forward multiple of 10.3x with a PEG of 0.07; the fundamentals are compelling, but with the analyst consensus target essentially reached and an elevated put/call ratio of 3.15 reflecting heavy bearish options positioning, the setup favors patience and a re-entry on a pullback rather than chasing at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth At Steep Valuation Discount↑Improving
  • Elevated Bearish Options Positioning↓Deteriorating
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Momentum→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc (BVN) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $27.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $28.61. Engine's entry $27.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also... Read more

$28.61+17.2% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 12 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.92%
IncomeYield3.97%(5y avg 0.86%)Payout26.09%sustainable
Entry $27.54(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $26.54Target $33.52(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$38.53+34.7%6 analysts
$33.52our TP
$28.61price
$38.53mean
$50

Wait for pullback to $27.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $28.61. Engine's entry $27.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.5
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn48.2%
ROE27.8%
Rev Growth43.2%
Beta0.42
Dividend3.97%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.36Resistance $32.66

Price Targets

$27
$28
$34
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BVN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.54. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $28.61. Engine's entry $27.54 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $33.52 (+17.2%), stop $26.54 (−7.8%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.52 (+17.2% upside). Target $33.52 (+17.2%), stop $26.54 (−7.8%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $26.54.

What are the risks of investing in BVN?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is BVN overvalued or undervalued?

Buenaventura Mining Company Inc trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BVN?

10 analysts cover BVN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Buenaventura Mining Company Inc do?Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development,...

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, construction, and operation of mines in Peru, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It explores for gold, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and antimony deposits. The company also engages in the exploration, extraction, concentration, smelting, and marketing of polymetallic minerals and metals. In addition, it is involved in electricity transmission and generation; hydroelectric plant operation; and production of manganese sulfate monohydrate, as well as tailings dam management. The company was incorporated in 1953 and is based in Lima, Peru.

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