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HLHecla Mining CompanyBuy Wait7.1·$14.84+4.88%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Quality FranchiseStable
  • Compelling Risk Reward To TargetStable
  • Commodity Concentration Cyclical RiskStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Hecla Mining Company (HL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Earnings in 5 days (2026-08-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $14.71. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.84. Engine's entry $14.71 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Hecla Mining Company has produced precious and base metals since 1891, operating four North American mines: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 11%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23%, pending sale). Concentrates and doré are... Read more

$14.84+37.1% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#1 of 14 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.92%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.50%)Payout2.17%sustainable
Entry $14.71(support + ATR (held))Stop $13.10Target $20.47(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$23.53+58.5%9 analysts
$20.47our TP
$14.84price
$23.53mean
$32

Wait for pullback to $14.71. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.84. Engine's entry $14.71 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$9.5B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn16.8%
ROE19.9%
Rev Growth100.4%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditysilver, gold, lead and zinc
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operating results are substantially dependent upon the prices of silver, gold, lead and zinc'
  • MEDIUMCustomerrelatively small number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant amount of revenue from a relatively small number of customers'
  • MEDIUMGeographicGreens Creek44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The contributions to our total metals sales by our significant operations in 2025 were 44.3% from Greens Creek'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    On May 21, 2026, shareholders approved an amendment to Hecla's Director Stock Plan extending its expiration date from May 2027 to May 2036. Routine compensatory arrangement change; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 1.02MEDIUM
    On April 9, 2026, Hecla completed full redemption of remaining $263 million 7.25% Senior Notes due 2028, terminating the Indenture (Feb 2020) and two supplemental indentures. No default; redemption completed at par per notice from trustee.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-10Item 2.04LOW
    Triggering event related to full redemption of $263 million 7.25% Senior Notes due 2028 on April 9, 2026. Obligation accelerated via redemption; no default. Incorporates Item 1.02 by reference.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
1.3
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.8
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.79Resistance $16.67

Price Targets

$13
$15
$20
A.Upside+37.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $14.71. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $14.84. Engine's entry $14.71 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $20.47 (+37.9%), stop $13.10 (−13.3%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.47 (+37.1% upside). Target $20.47 (+37.9%), stop $13.10 (−13.3%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $13.10.

What are the risks of investing in HL?

Concentration risk — Commodity: silver, gold, lead and zinc; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is HL overvalued or undervalued?

Hecla Mining Company trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about HL?

17 analysts cover HL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Hecla Mining Company do?Hecla Mining Company has produced precious and base metals since 1891, operating four North American mines: Greens...

Hecla Mining Company has produced precious and base metals since 1891, operating four North American mines: Greens Creek (Alaska, 44% of 2025 metals sales), Lucky Friday (Idaho, 22%), Keno Hill (Yukon, 11%), and Casa Berardi (Quebec, 23%, pending sale). Concentrates and doré are sold to custom smelters, metal traders, and refiners; the company realized average silver of $45.25/oz and gold of $3,490/oz in 2025.

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