Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.0 |
| P/S | 6.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.8 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.17
- ▸Attractively valued
HL · Why this verdict
Why Hecla Mining (HL) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.6 |
| ROA | 9.2 |
| Gross margin | 7.9 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 8.4 |
| Current ratio | 8.1 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 8.4 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 17%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 100% YoY
Momentum
2.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 4.9 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.9 |
| Price target | 9.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 71%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.6 |
| quality rank | 5.1 |
| growth rank | 2.9 |
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.1 |
| support resistance | 9.6 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 8.3 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| beta | 5.9 |
| debt equity | 9.6 |
- ▸High IV: 81%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.4 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 10.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.17, quality 8.4/10, growth 10.0/10).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:4.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.3<4.5
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
3.96
Upside
+49.2%
Downside
12.4%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (8.4) with weak momentum (2.3)
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.4 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 3.96 supporting the read.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 8.4, and Value at 7.9; the weakest are Momentum at 2.3, Peer rank at 3.2, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.96 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.