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GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Hold6.7·$86.84-1.62%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The combination of 63% revenue growth, an 80% free cash flow margin, four consecutive earnings beats, and a forward P/E of 4.2x creates a compelling fundamental case; the primary risk is that price momentum has broken down sharply and the stock must stabilize before the fundamental strengths can be expressed in the share price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow GenerationStable
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Price Momentum BreakdownImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-08-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company... Read more

$86.84-2.4% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield29.51%
IncomeYield1.14%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout36.76%sustainable
Stop $80.76Target $87.31(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$94.19+8.5%27 analysts
$87.31our TP
$86.84price
$94.19mean
$60
$194

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.1
P/E (Fwd)5.5
Mkt Cap$24.1B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn-8.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth63.1%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.14%
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $71.45Resistance $89.09

Price Targets

$81
$87
A.Upside-2.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $87.31 (+0.5%), stop $80.76 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.31 (-2.4% upside). Target $87.31 (+0.5%), stop $80.76 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $80.76.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.1 (forward 5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GPN?

38 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business...

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company acquired Worldpay Holdco from Fidelity National Information Services and GTCR for roughly $6.2 billion in cash plus 43.3 million shares, simultaneously divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS for approximately $7.7 billion in cash plus FIS's Worldpay stake.

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