Graham Holdings combines a strong earnings beat record averaging approximately 19 percentage points above consensus with powerful technical momentum in a breakout configuration, but the stock has substantially overrun analyst consensus estimates and the free cash flow conversion of 70% relative to net income warrants monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
- Technical Breakout With Strong Momentum↑Improving
- Stock Substantially Above Analyst Consensus→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Graham Holdings Company (GHC) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Conglomerates
Wait for pullback to $1128.49. BUY gates pass at $1225.52, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (2.3% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $1128.49 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional... Read more
Wait for pullback to $1128.49. BUY gates pass at $1225.52, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (2.3% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $1128.49 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — Graham Holdings Company
Latest news
- NEWS Graham Holdings Co (GHC) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Graham Holdings Stock Surges 3 Percent Following Kaplan Unit Sale - HarianBasis.co — HarianBasis.co positive
- NEWS Graham (GHC) to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Allspring Global Investments Holdings LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in Graham Holdings Company $GHC - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Graham (GHC) to Release Quarterly Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T07:18:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $1128.49. BUY gates pass at $1225.52, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (2.3% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $1128.49 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $1237.10 (+0.9%), stop $1077.43 (−13.7%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $1237.10 (-31.3% upside). Target $1237.10 (+0.9%), stop $1077.43 (−13.7%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Stop-loss: $1077.43.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.3% away).
Graham Holdings Company trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
8 analysts cover GHC with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $990.
What does Graham Holdings Company do?Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered...
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional Middle East and North Africa also delivers professional training programs across the entire region with a focus on the UAE and Saudi Arabia.