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FSMFortuna Mining Corp.Buy Wait7.1·$9.38+4.98%
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Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.45 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Fortuna Mining Corp. engages in the precious and base metal mining and related activities in Argentina, Côte d'Ivoire, Mexico, Peru, and Senegal. The company operates through Mansfield, Sango, and Bateas segments. It operates the Lindero gold mine and the Séguéla gold mine, as... Read more

$9.38+31.2% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#4 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield13.65%
Entry $9.45(Gap Fill 50 Sticky)Stop $8.48Target $11.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$14.00+49.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.45 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Value play: 45% MoS with quality 8.9. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)5.4
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA3.4
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE22.0%
Rev Growth75.6%
Beta2.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gap
3.0
52w Position
3.5
Support Resistance
3.7
Bollinger
4.5
Extreme gap up (7.0%) - may pull back
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.09Resistance $10.14

Price Targets

$8
$9
$12
A.Upside+26.9%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSM stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.45 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Value play: 45% MoS with quality 8.9. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $11.90 (+26.9%), stop $8.48 (−10.6%), Setup A.R:R 4.5:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FSM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.90 (+31.2% upside). Target $11.90 (+26.9%), stop $8.48 (−10.6%), Setup A.R:R 4.5:1. Stop-loss: $8.48.

What are the risks of investing in FSM?

Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is FSM overvalued or undervalued?

Fortuna Mining Corp. trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward 5.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FSM?

8 analysts cover FSM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Fortuna Mining Corp. do?Fortuna Mining Corp. engages in the precious and base metal mining and related activities in Argentina, Côte d'Ivoire,...

Fortuna Mining Corp. engages in the precious and base metal mining and related activities in Argentina, Côte d'Ivoire, Mexico, Peru, and Senegal. The company operates through Mansfield, Sango, and Bateas segments. It operates the Lindero gold mine and the Séguéla gold mine, as well as the Caylloma silver, lead, and zinc mine. The company was formerly known as Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. and changed its name to Fortuna Mining Corp. in June 2024. Fortuna Mining Corp. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · BTG (B2Gold Corp) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.)
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