Ford operates with deeply impaired fundamentals — free cash flow is negative at roughly 1% of revenue, there is no discernible competitive moat, and price momentum is clearly negative — while a high dividend yield is flagged as unsafe; despite about 18% room to the next resistance level, the structural quality deficit and momentum headwinds require meaningful improvement before the risk profile justifies new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Structural Quality Deficit→Stable
- Negative Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Delivery Variance→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ford Motor Company (F) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.96: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.96: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-14Recent Developments — Ford Motor Company
Latest news
- NEWS Gary Black Explains Tesla’s US EV Market Share Surge, Points to Legacy Retreat, Model Y Rejig: ‘It’s Implausible…’ — benzinga Sep 14, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Richest NFL Team Owners List: Who’s Most Connected to Stock Market? — benzinga Sep 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Ford Blasts Transportation Secretary Duffy Over China Claims — benzinga Sep 10, 2026 negative
- NEWS QUICK SPARK: Trump Announces $500 'Obamacare' Rebates for Nearly 1 Million Americans — benzinga Sep 10, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 10 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session — benzinga Sep 9, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-09-14T07:57:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Revenue shrinking — -3.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.96: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.11. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.27 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.11. Stop-loss: $13.11.
Target reached (2.1% upside); Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).
Ford Motor Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
29 analysts cover F with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $16.
What does Ford Motor Company do?Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and...
Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers; develops EV and digital vehicle technologies, and software; and provides telematics and EV charging solutions. It also sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. In addition, it engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. Further, the company provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. Additionally, it offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company was incorporated in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.