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VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.Sell5.7·$3.01-1.29%
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VinFast Auto Ltd. (VFS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.01: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 8.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam, Canada, and the United States. The company operates through three segments: namely Car, E-scooters and Ebus. It offers the design, development, manufacturing... Read more

$3.01+76.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 16 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-230456.20%
Stop $2.83Target $5.35(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 8.4:1
Analyst target$6.30+109.3%4 analysts
$5.35our TP
$3.01price
$6.30mean
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.01: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 8.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — VinFast Auto Ltd.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jun 8, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.1%), High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-3.1
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-113.2%
ROE
Rev Growth41.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV100%elevated
Max Pain$8+165.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
1.9
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
5.5
Cash-burning (FCF negative)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.0
Volume
5.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 14, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 8.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.90Resistance $4.15

Price Targets

$3
$5
A.Upside+77.7%
A.R:R8.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.1%), High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.03% of cap)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-08 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.01: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 8.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.83. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.35 (+76.0% upside). Prior stop was $2.83. Stop-loss: $2.83.

What are the risks of investing in VFS?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.1%), High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Is VFS overvalued or undervalued?

VinFast Auto Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VFS?

9 analysts cover VFS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does VinFast Auto Ltd. do?VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam,...

VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam, Canada, and the United States. The company operates through three segments: namely Car, E-scooters and Ebus. It offers the design, development, manufacturing and sales of e-scooters and related battery lease and battery charging service for cars, e-scooters, and Ebus. The company offers electric SUV, mini car EV, mid-size pickup electric truck, 7-seater MPV, E-bus, E-scooter, electric bike, and battery technology and solutions. VinFast Auto Ltd. is based in Hai Phong City, Vietnam. VinFast Auto Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Vingroup Joint Stock Company.

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