Skip to main content
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.Sell5.8·$2.96+3.85%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

VinFast Auto is a Vietnamese electric vehicle startup with 42% revenue growth and 91% analyst upside, but it has missed earnings in all four recent quarters, burns cash with negative free cash flow, carries leverage at 5.5x debt-to-equity, and has a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, placing it firmly below minimum quality thresholds.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth Ev ExpansionStable
  • Cash Burn Piotroski Quality FloorStable
  • High Leverage Margin CompressionDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

VinFast Auto Ltd. (VFS) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.96: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 9.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam, Canada, and the United States. The company operates through three segments: namely Car, E-scooters and Ebus. It offers the design, development, manufacturing... Read more

$2.96+74.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 17 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-771568.47%
Stop $2.76Target $5.14(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 9.3:1
Analyst target$6.05+104.4%4 analysts
$5.14our TP
$2.96price
$6.05mean
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.96: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 9.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-2.9
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-113.2%
ROE
Rev Growth41.7%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.00bearish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
1.9
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
5.5
Cash-burning (FCF negative)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
4.0
Volume
4.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 9.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.85Resistance $3.26

Price Targets

$3
$5
A.Upside+74.3%
A.R:R9.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.96: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 9.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $2.76. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.14 (+74.3% upside). Prior stop was $2.76. Stop-loss: $2.76.

What are the risks of investing in VFS?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is VFS overvalued or undervalued?

VinFast Auto Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -2.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VFS?

9 analysts cover VFS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $6.

What does VinFast Auto Ltd. do?VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam,...

VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam, Canada, and the United States. The company operates through three segments: namely Car, E-scooters and Ebus. It offers the design, development, manufacturing and sales of e-scooters and related battery lease and battery charging service for cars, e-scooters, and Ebus. The company offers electric SUV, mini car EV, mid-size pickup electric truck, 7-seater MPV, E-bus, E-scooter, electric bike, and battery technology and solutions. The company has a strategic collaboration with Nvidia for the development of a next-generation level 4 autonomous driving program. VinFast Auto Ltd. is based in Hai phong, Vietnam. VinFast Auto Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Vingroup Joint Stock Company.

Related stocks: CYD (China Yuchai International Limi) · NIO (NIO Inc.) · PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK ) · RACE (Ferrari N.V.) · XPEV (XPeng Inc.)
Home Stocks VFS

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga3d agoProduct
Benzinga13d agoProduct
Benzinga21d ago
Benzinga21d agoProduct
Benzinga23d agoProduct
Benzinga50d agoProduct
Benzinga50d ago
Benzinga50d ago
Benzinga51d agoAnalyst
Benzinga52d ago
Benzinga52d agoProduct
Benzinga60d agoProduct
Benzinga60d ago
Benzinga60d agoProduct
Benzinga66d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga69d agoLegal
Benzinga70d ago
Benzinga79d agoRestructuring
Benzinga100d ago
Benzinga101d agoProduct
Loading more...