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NIONIO Inc.Sell5.8·$5.55+3.54%
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NIO Inc. (NIO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.55: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging... Read more

$5.55+14.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 16 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $5.07Target $6.24(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$6.93+24.9%24 analysts
$6.24our TP
$5.55price
$6.93mean
$4
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.55: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — NIO Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 1, 202685d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)36.0
Mkt Cap$13.4B
EV/EBITDA-39.0
Profit Mgn-9.1%
ROE-84.0%
Rev Growth112.2%
Beta0.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.0
Moat
4.2
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.12Resistance $6.58

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-01 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NIO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.55: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.07. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NIO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.24 (+14.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.07. Stop-loss: $5.07.

What are the risks of investing in NIO?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is NIO overvalued or undervalued?

NIO Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 36.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NIO?

31 analysts cover NIO with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $7.

What does NIO Inc. do?NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It...

NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery-swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for power valet service. In addition, it provides repair, maintenance, car beauty, and inspection services through its service centers and authorized third-party service centers; vehicle transportation and delivery, pre-delivery inspections, guidance on vehicle features, assistance with vehicle registration, and insurance processing services; insurance, maintenance, repairs, accident rescue, car washing, chauffeur services, and valet parking services; and remote monitoring and real-time diagnostics services, as well as technical, warranty, and auto financing arrangements. Further, the company is involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; design and technology development activities; manufacture of electric powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after-sales management activities. Additionally, it operates in app NIO Auto Mall where users can select from various accessories and value added services; and online auction platform. The company was formerly known as NextEV Inc. and changed its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017. NIO Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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