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EVREvercore Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$281.21-0.85%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and a four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 26.8% in upside surprise — but the stock has reached and exceeded its near-term resistance target with essentially no room left to that level, meaning new buyers are paying full price without the favorable entry geometry that made earlier positions attractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Beat CadenceStable
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • Strong Revenue And Earnings GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Evercore Inc. (EVR) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityShortHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait for pullback to $273.13. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $281.21. Engine's entry $273.13 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Evercore provides investment banking advisory, equities research and trading, and wealth management, with the Investment Banking & Equities segment generating $3.69 billion — 98% of 2025 revenues. The company earns contingent advisory fees on M&A, restructuring, and capital... Read more

$281.21+12.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#16 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.27%(5y avg 1.76%)Payout19.20%sustainable
Entry $273.13(1 ATR pullback)Stop $256.97Target $316.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$363.90+29.4%10 analysts
$316.59our TP
$281.21price
$363.90mean
$391

Wait for pullback to $273.13. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $281.21. Engine's entry $273.13 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=financial services 7/10). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Evercore Inc.

About Evercore Inc.

Evercore's Investment Banking & Equities segment generated $3.69 billion in revenue in 2025, representing 98% of total revenues and up from $2.81 billion in 2024, with the firm completing 806 fee-paying advisory and underwriting transactions. The Investment Management segment contributed $87.4 million (2%), primarily through Evercore Wealth Management's $15.5 billion in AUM at year-end 2025. The company employed approximately 2,570 people across 33 cities globally.

Evercore earns most of its revenue from M&A advisory fees, which are typically contingent on transaction closing and constitute the largest share of Investment Banking & Equities income. Liability management and restructuring, capital markets advisory, and the Equities business (Evercore ISI, ranked #1 independent by Extel in 2025) serve as supplemental revenue streams, all expected to remain smaller than M&A for the foreseeable future. Revenue is highly episodic — large fees tied to closing milestones mean quarterly results fluctuate with deal timing, and the 10-K notes that losing even a small number of fee events could have a significant near-term financial effect. The firm competes against universal banks including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley, as well as independent advisors Centerview, Houlihan Lokey, Lazard, and Moelis. Evercore acquired Robey Warshaw, a U.K. advisory firm, in 2025, extending geographic reach to Stockholm, Sweden and Milan, Italy.

Show full overview

Evercore's principal U.S. broker-dealer, Evercore Group L.L.C. (EGL), is registered with the SEC and is a FINRA member, subject to the net capital rule (Rule 15c3-1) and the Market Access Rule (Rule 15c3-5). In the U.K., Evercore Partners International LLP and Evercore ISI International Limited are both authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority under FSMA, subject to higher capital requirements under the Investment Firm Prudential Regime effective January 1, 2022. Evercore Trust Company, N.A. is regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and is a Federal Reserve member bank. Non-compliance across these multi-jurisdictional frameworks could expose the firm to fines, suspension, or revocation of registrations.

See also: Financial Services · Capital Markets

From Evercore Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE39.5%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta1.48
Dividend1.27%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Financial Services 7/10Suitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $280.02Resistance $313.77

Price Targets

$257
$273
$317
A.Upside+12.6%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %4.2%
Max %8.4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum
! 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $273.13. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $281.21. Engine's entry $273.13 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $316.59 (+12.6%), stop $256.97 (−9.4%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.

What is the EVR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $316.59 (+12.6% upside). Target $316.59 (+12.6%), stop $256.97 (−9.4%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $256.97.

What are the risks of investing in EVR?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is EVR overvalued or undervalued?

Evercore Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EVR?

15 analysts cover EVR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $364.

What does Evercore Inc. do?Evercore provides investment banking advisory, equities research and trading, and wealth management, with the...

Evercore provides investment banking advisory, equities research and trading, and wealth management, with the Investment Banking & Equities segment generating $3.69 billion — 98% of 2025 revenues. The company earns contingent advisory fees on M&A, restructuring, and capital markets transactions for corporate clients and financial sponsors, operating across 33 cities globally with roughly 2,570 employees.

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