DSGR offers an attractive valuation and strong cash conversion, but a confirmed technical downtrend, consecutive earnings misses, and a death-cross hard block currently override the fundamental case.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Cash Conversion→Stable
- Confirmed Technical Downtrend→Stable
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Distribution Solutions Group, I (DSGR) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. ("DSG"), a Delaware corporation, is a global specialty distribution company providing value-added distribution solutions to the maintenance, repair and operations ("MRO"), original equipment manufacturer ("OEM") and industrial technology... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $27.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.80. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.32 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $25.80. Stop-loss: $25.80.
Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Distribution Solutions Group, I trades at a P/E of 225.5 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover DSGR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $35.
What does Distribution Solutions Group, I do?Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. ("DSG"), a Delaware corporation, is a global specialty distribution company...
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. ("DSG"), a Delaware corporation, is a global specialty distribution company providing value-added distribution solutions to the maintenance, repair and operations ("MRO"), original equipment manufacturer ("OEM") and industrial technology markets.