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DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.Sell5.7·$20.30-0.34%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Healthpeak Properties has exceeded its analyst consensus target, leaving no positive asymmetry at current levels; while the portfolio demonstrates strong cash conversion and a high financial health score, heavy geographic concentration in San Francisco laboratory space and a dividend whose safety is in question make this a name to reduce rather than add.

Thesis pillars

  • Sf Lab Portfolio ConcentrationImproving
  • Price Above Analyst TargetStable
  • Dividend Safety ConcernImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. (DOC) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.30 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%).

Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145 buildings), and senior housing (34 communities) segments in the U.S. Revenue comes from leases to healthcare providers, biotech tenants, and RIDEA-structured... Read more

$20.30+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.43%
IncomeYield6.01%(5y avg 5.57%)Payout348.58%
Stop $19.49Target $20.75(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$23.05+13.6%19 analysts
$20.75our TP
$20.30price
$23.05mean
$17
$29

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.30 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.0
P/E (Fwd)145.0
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.99
Dividend6.01%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWTenantHCA Healthcare7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'most significant outpatient medical tenant concentration ... HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)| | 15 | %| | 7 | %'
  • HIGHGeographicSan Francisco lab portfolio59%
    10-K Item 1: 'including San Francisco, California (59%), Boston, Massachusetts (22%), and San Diego, California (17%) (based on total square feet)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.5
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 23)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.09Resistance $21.69

Price Targets

$19
$21
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.30 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.49. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.75 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $19.49. Stop-loss: $19.49.

What are the risks of investing in DOC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is DOC overvalued or undervalued?

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 58.0 (forward 145.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOC?

26 analysts cover DOC with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Healthpeak Properties, Inc. do?Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145...

Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145 buildings), and senior housing (34 communities) segments in the U.S. Revenue comes from leases to healthcare providers, biotech tenants, and RIDEA-structured senior housing operators; 2025 Adjusted NOI: outpatient medical $796M, lab $567M, senior housing $177M.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.)
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