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CHCTCommunity Healthcare Trust IncoSell5.5·$17.89-0.67%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Community Healthcare Trust shows excellent cash conversion and an elite Rule of 40 score alongside a fresh bullish breakout, but the stock has already reached its price target near its 52-week high, carries a leverage penalty, and the engine's own risk/reward read is negative, so the setup favors trimming rather than adding until the target is reset or the risk/reward improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash ConversionStable
  • Target Reached Near 52wk HighStable
  • Leverage PenaltyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Community Healthcare Trust Inco (CHCT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.89 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a healthcare real estate investment trust that owns 198 properties across 36 states, primarily medical office buildings, inpatient rehabilitation facilities, and behavioral health facilities leased to hospitals, physicians, and other... Read more

$17.89+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#6 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield15.07%
IncomeYield10.55%(5y avg 7.32%)Payout1579.17%
Stop $17.11Target $18.29(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$18.75+4.8%4 analysts
$18.29our TP
$17.89price
$18.75mean
$17
$20

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.89 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)150.1
P/E (Fwd)45.0
Mkt Cap$515M
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE1.4%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.68
Dividend10.55%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerUS Healthvest7.3%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest tenants were US Healthvest which provided 7.3% and Lifepoint Health which provided 6.4% of our annualized rent.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas14%
    10-K Item 1: '26.7% of our annualized rent as of December 31, 2025 derived from properties located in Texas (14.3%) and Florida (12.4%).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida12%
    10-K Item 1: '26.7% of our annualized rent as of December 31, 2025 derived from properties located in Texas (14.3%) and Florida (12.4%).'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
3.9
Growth Rank
4.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Macd
3.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.27Resistance $18.66

Price Targets

$17
$18
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.89 — A.R:R is negative (-2.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.11. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.29 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $17.11. Stop-loss: $17.11.

What are the risks of investing in CHCT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is CHCT overvalued or undervalued?

Community Healthcare Trust Inco trades at a P/E of 150.1 (forward 45.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHCT?

10 analysts cover CHCT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Community Healthcare Trust Inco do?Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a healthcare real estate investment trust that owns 198 properties across 36...

Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a healthcare real estate investment trust that owns 198 properties across 36 states, primarily medical office buildings, inpatient rehabilitation facilities, and behavioral health facilities leased to hospitals, physicians, and other healthcare providers. As of December 31, 2025, the company held approximately $1.2 billion in gross real estate investments totaling 4.5 million square feet at 90.6% leased occupancy, with Texas and Florida together accounting for 26.7% of annualized rent and no single tenant exceeding 10%.

Related stocks: SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) · UHT (Universal Health Realty Income ) · NHI (National Health Investors, Inc.)
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