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CBZCBIZ, Inc.Sell4.4·$54.60+0.11%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

CBIZ trades at a compelling valuation with strong earnings delivery and superior cash conversion, but the stock is in a confirmed price downtrend with elevated leverage and hedging activity — the technical setup must stabilize before the valuation case can be acted upon.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Downtrend Falling VolumeDeteriorating
  • Deep Value Compressed MultipleStable
  • Earnings Beat CapabilityDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CBIZ, Inc. (CBZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.60: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

CBIZ provides professional services — accounting, tax, advisory, benefits, and insurance — to middle-market businesses across more than 140 locations in 23 major U.S. markets. In 2025, total revenue was $2.76 billion, with the Financial Services segment contributing 83.4%... Read more

$54.60-19.6% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#30 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield8.13%
Stop $54.12Target $62.79(default +15%)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$51.67-5.4%3 analysts
$62.79our TP
$54.60price
$51.67mean
$45
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.60: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CBIZ, Inc.

About CBIZ, Inc.

CBIZ generated $2.76 billion in total revenue in 2025, with the Financial Services segment — accounting, tax, advisory, and technology — contributing $2.30 billion or 83.4% of total, up from 75.1% in 2024 following the Marcum non-attest acquisition. Benefits and Insurance Services contributed $409.6 million (14.9%) and National Practices $46.9 million (1.7%). The company employs more than 9,500 people across more than 140 locations in 23 major markets, with no unionized workforce disclosed.

CBIZ earns revenue through direct professional services fees and through Administrative Service Agreements (ASAs) with four independent CPA firms — principally CBIZ CPAs, P.C. (formerly Mayer Hoffman McCann, P.C., with 421 stockholders) — under which CBIZ provides staffing, office management, and administrative support in exchange for fees. ASA fees totaled approximately $651.2 million in 2025, up from $306.5 million in 2024, with the majority of revenues related to privately-held clients and governmental agencies. The Financial Services segment also includes government health care consulting through Myers and Stauffer LC, an independent national CPA firm with 43 equity members. The National Practices segment derives all revenue from a single client under a cost-plus contract expiring December 31, 2028. Core accounting and tax revenue is front-loaded — most annual EPS is earned in the first half of the year during tax season — while Benefits and Insurance Services revenue is more stable across quarters.

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CBIZ faces a distinctive regulatory constraint: the SEC classifies the company as an associated entity of its ASA-linked CPA firms, prohibiting it from providing services to or holding interests in those firms' SEC-reporting attest clients. The Marcum integration significantly increased the number of CBIZ CPAs' SEC-reporting attest clients, and CBIZ CPAs is now subject to annual PCAOB inspection following prior PCAOB and SEC sanctions against Marcum for quality control failures. If independence conflicts cannot be managed, ASA fee revenue — approximately $651.2 million in 2025 — could be curtailed, making the continuation of ASA relationships a material operational dependency the 10-K explicitly identifies as a risk.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From CBIZ, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-19.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.2
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.0
Roe
2.2
Net Margin
2.2
Roa
2.6
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
5.4
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 197% FCF/NINo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume
6.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.40Resistance $55.15

Price Targets

$54
$63
A.Upside-19.6%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.60: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $54.12. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.79 (-19.6% upside). Prior stop was $54.12. Stop-loss: $54.12.

What are the risks of investing in CBZ?

Target reached (-19.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is CBZ overvalued or undervalued?

CBIZ, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CBZ?

9 analysts cover CBZ with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $52.

What does CBIZ, Inc. do?CBIZ provides professional services — accounting, tax, advisory, benefits, and insurance — to middle-market businesses...

CBIZ provides professional services — accounting, tax, advisory, benefits, and insurance — to middle-market businesses across more than 140 locations in 23 major U.S. markets. In 2025, total revenue was $2.76 billion, with the Financial Services segment contributing 83.4% following the Marcum non-attest business acquisition that closed in 2024. Benefits and Insurance Services contributed 14.9% and National Practices 1.7%, the latter serving a single client under a cost-plus contract.

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