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CMPRCimpress PLCSell5.9·$84.77+0.83%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak AccelerationStable
  • Oversold Bounce Technical SetupDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.77: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Cimpress PLC is a collection of decentralized print mass-customization businesses - led by its Vista (VistaPrint) segment plus PrintBrothers and The Print Group in its Upload & Print division - that produce customized business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional... Read more

$84.77+14.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.59%
Stop $81.04Target $97.33(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$114.50+35.1%2 analysts
$97.33our TP
$84.77price
$114.50mean
$121

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.77: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress generated $3.4 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025, up from $0.2 billion when it went public in fiscal 2006, operating through five reportable segments led by Vista (VistaPrint), which serves about 11 million small businesses annually with an average order value above $90 and gross margins around 55%. Its Upload & Print segments, PrintBrothers and The Print Group, serve European graphic professionals with gross margins near 32%. Cimpress runs roughly 3 million square feet of owned production space plus hundreds of third-party fulfillment partners.

Cimpress earns revenue through a mass-customization model that aggregates large volumes of small, individually configured print orders - business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional products, apparel, packaging, and design services - into homogeneous production runs on largely automated lines, letting it match near-mass-production unit costs to custom orders. Vista sells directly to small businesses and consumers through VistaPrint, 99designs, VistaCreate, and a Wix partnership, mostly via self-service e-commerce with orders often produced and shipped same-day; PrintBrothers (druck.at, Printdeal, WIRmachenDRUCK) and The Print Group serve graphic professionals, resellers, and agencies at wholesale-like pricing with far larger product catalogs sourced partly through third-party fulfillers. The company invests centrally in only a few shared capabilities - its mass-customization software platform, India-based talent infrastructure, large-scale procurement, and cross-business knowledge sharing - while leaving pricing, marketing, and operating decisions to autonomous business-unit CEOs. Growth increasingly comes from "elevated products" like packaging and large-format signage, which carry lower gross margins than mature products like business cards but higher customer lifetime value.

Show full overview

A dated, falsifiable risk in the filing is the scheduled end of the de minimis import-duty exemption that Cimpress says currently benefits its business: the exemption is set to end no later than July 1, 2027 under H.R. 1, but the company expects it to end even sooner, on August 29, 2025, under a separate executive order. Layered on top, Cimpress is relying on an "informational materials" exclusion under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to keep most of its U.S.-imported printed products outside recent tariff actions, a legal basis the company itself flags could change, in which case its Ontario, Mexico, and other cross-border manufacturing footprint would face materially higher import costs.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.4
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.55Resistance $97.50

Price Targets

$81
$97
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $84.77: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $81.04. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.33 (+14.8% upside). Prior stop was $81.04. Stop-loss: $81.04.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 22.4 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress PLC is a collection of decentralized print mass-customization businesses - led by its Vista (VistaPrint)...

Cimpress PLC is a collection of decentralized print mass-customization businesses - led by its Vista (VistaPrint) segment plus PrintBrothers and The Print Group in its Upload & Print division - that produce customized business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional products, apparel, packaging, and design services for small and medium businesses across North America, Europe, Australia, and other markets. The company grew from $0.2 billion in revenue when it went public in fiscal 2006 to $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025, operating roughly 3 million square feet of production space plus hund

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