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CMPRCimpress PLCSell6.0·$60.32
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Acceleration↓Deteriorating
  • Oversold Bounce Technical Setup↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 7, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $60.32: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Cimpress produces customized print and merchandise, including business cards, signage, packaging, apparel and promotional products, through brands such as VistaPrint, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, Pens.com and BuildASign. It grew to $3.7 billion of revenue in fiscal 2026 and... Read more

$60.32+61.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.39%
Stop $57.35Analyst target $97.33(−15% haircut)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst consensus$114.50+89.8%2 analysts
$97.33Analyst target
$60.32price
$114.50mean
$121

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $60.32: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress reported $3.7 billion of revenue in fiscal year 2026, up from $0.2 billion in fiscal 2006, the year it became a publicly traded company, and employs more than 16,000 people, of whom about 100 work in central activities. The company, founded in 1995, sells customized marketing materials, business cards, signage, promotional products, logo apparel, packaging, books, wall decor and photo merchandise. It reports five segments, including VistaPrint, PrintBrothers and The Print Group.

Cimpress runs decentralized, autonomous businesses linked by a few shared capabilities: a mass customization platform, talent infrastructure in India, central procurement of capital equipment, shipping services and major raw material categories, and peer-to-peer knowledge sharing. VistaPrint, operating in North America, Western Europe, Australia, New Zealand, India and Singapore, helps about 11 million small businesses annually and also includes 99designs by Vista, VistaCreate, the Vista x Wix partnership and VistaPrint Corporate Solutions. PrintBrothers includes druck.at, Printdeal and WIRmachenDRUCK, serving Austria, Belgium, Germany, the Netherlands and Switzerland, while The Print Group includes Easyflyer, Exaprint, Mixam, Pixartprinting and Tradeprint, serving France, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom. Upload & Print businesses target graphic professionals such as local printers and print resellers. The majority of revenue is driven by standardized, software-enabled processes, and the model keeps inventory low relative to revenue because customers order before production. The company states its uppermost financial objective is to maximize intrinsic value per share, and accepts fluctuations in near-term financial metrics to pursue long-term returns.

Show full overview

Customer acquisition channels are an evolving exposure. The 10-K says consumers increasingly rely on generative and agentic AI tools, such as conversational search engines and autonomous shopping assistants, to discover and compare products, which represents a shift away from traditional search engine behavior and direct website visits. That shift may require rapid strategic and technical adaptations, including further standardizing and optimizing the company's data structures, and could increase costs or otherwise adversely affect results if competitors adapt more effectively.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE—
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 6.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Short Interest
2.6
Implied Vol
3.1
Beta
3.9
Put Call
7.8
High IV: 61%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Vol Acceleration
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.8x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5INSIDER 0.20%=MODERATEA.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
32 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $59.12Resistance $83.60

Price Targets

$57
$97
A.Upside+61.3%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $60.32: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $57.35. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Analyst target: $97.33 (+61.3% upside). Prior stop was $57.35. Stop-loss: $57.35.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress produces customized print and merchandise, including business cards, signage, packaging, apparel and...

Cimpress produces customized print and merchandise, including business cards, signage, packaging, apparel and promotional products, through brands such as VistaPrint, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, Pens.com and BuildASign. It grew to $3.7 billion of revenue in fiscal 2026 and has more than 16,000 employees. It runs five reportable segments in a decentralized structure built around mass customization, with VistaPrint serving about 11 million small businesses annually.

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