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CBZCBIZ, Inc.Sell5.6·$33.74+0.48%
CBZ · Why this verdict

Why CBIZ (CBZ) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.4
P/S9.9
EV/EBITDA6.6
Fwd P/E9.6
PEG10.0
Analyst target5.0
  • Forward P/E: 7.5x
  • PEG: 0.20
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE2.7
ROA3.0
Gross margin0.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin2.8
Current ratio5.9
FCF quality9.3
Moat3.8
Piotroski F7.8
  • Excellent cash conversion: 128% FCF/NI
  • No competitive moat
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

6.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.8
EPS growth9.5

Momentum

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.6
MACD8.9
OBV10.0
MA position6.0
Volume3.4
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -11.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target7.8
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 22%

Insider

5.3/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.5
holder change5.1
  • Insider buying (low materiality) — $357,774 (0.020% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.5/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.8
quality rank4.6
growth rank1.4
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

2.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.5
support resistance1.7
52w position0.0
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest5.5
days to cover6.5
volatility1.6
put call2.2
implied vol0.0
beta7.1
debt equity4.9
  • Elevated put/call: 1.67
  • High IV: 96%

Catalyst

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg6.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.4>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.4>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
0.22
Upside
+3.3%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.8B<$5B

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.2<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.22 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.2, Momentum at 6.4, and Growth at 6.2; the weakest are Technical at 2.5, Peer rank at 3.5, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.22 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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