Skip to main content
AVRAnteris Technologies Global CorSell4.9·$9.71-2.12%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Anteris screens attractively valued with a favorable 2.01 risk/reward setup and improving momentum, but weak business quality - cash burn, a failing Rule of 40 score, a low Piotroski score, and a four-quarter earnings miss streak - argues the cheapness could be a value trap rather than a genuine opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Favorable Momentum AsymmetryStable
  • Attractive ValuationStable
  • Cash Burning Weak QualityStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anteris Technologies Global Cor (AVR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.71: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality.

Anteris Technologies is a clinical-stage structural heart company developing the DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic, single-piece transcatheter aortic valve designed to treat aortic stenosis by replicating normal blood flow. More than 130 patients have been implanted worldwide as... Read more

$9.71+34.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#28 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-5.12%
Stop $9.03Target $13.03(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$15.33+57.9%3 analysts
$13.03our TP
$9.71price
$15.33mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.71: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Anteris Technologies Global Cor

About Anteris Technologies Global Cor

Anteris Technologies has implanted its DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic single-piece transcatheter aortic valve, in more than 130 patients worldwide as of December 2025, and in November 2025 the FDA granted Investigational Device Exemption approval for a staged enrollment of the first 200 patients in its global pivotal PARADIGM Trial. The trial began enrolling in Denmark in October 2025 after Anteris secured its first European regulatory approval, with North America and Europe together representing the large majority of the roughly $12.4 billion combined 2028 TAVR and valve-in-valve market opportunity FMI projects.

As a development-stage company, Anteris currently generates only small amounts of revenue, insufficient to cover its research, development, and operating costs, and recorded a $94.2 million net loss in 2025 against a $370.5 million accumulated deficit. The DurAVR THV's core technology is ADAPT, a proprietary anti-calcification process that converts bovine pericardial tissue into a single-piece collagen bioscaffold, paired with the balloon-expandable ComASUR delivery system for precise commissural alignment; Anteris owns 47 active patents covering the valve, delivery system, sterilization, and packaging. The company competes against Edwards Lifesciences and Medtronic, the dominant TAVR suppliers, and states that no competitor currently has a single-piece tissue TAVR either commercially available or publicly disclosed in development. Anteris also holds a 30% interest in v2vmedtech, a separate developer of mitral and tricuspid valve-repair devices, funded in part through a 2023 development agreement.

Show full overview

Anteris's near-term value hinges almost entirely on a single clinical readout: the DurAVR THV System is described in the 10-K as the company's lead product, and the filing warns that if development cannot be completed or the device fails to gain approval, it could prevent Anteris from ever achieving profitability, with no other clinical-stage product positioned to offset that outcome. The PARADIGM Trial's initial 200-patient U.S. cohort, still enrolling under a staged FDA IDE, is the gating event for that single-asset bet. Underscoring capital discipline while spending is concentrated on DurAVR, in April 2026 Anteris notified v2vmedtech that it would discontinue further development contributions under their 2023 agreement, triggering a $400,000 break fee and ending Anteris's funding obligations to that side project.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From Anteris Technologies Global Cor's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 14, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: DurAVR® THV System
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-10.8
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA-7.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-59.2%
Rev Growth-11.2%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineDurAVR® THV System
    10-K Item 1A: 'our lead product, DurAVR® THV System, is undertaking clinical trials designed to provide the primary clinical evidence'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Anteris notified v2vmedtech on April 28, 2026 that it would discontinue further development contributions under their April 2023 Contribution and Stock Purchase Agreement, following completion of Stage 1. Anteris owes a $400,000 break fee; v2v may elect to buy back Anteris's equity stake or reduce it to a capped minority position.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Susan Knight (Class I director, Audit and Risk Committee) and Stephen Denaro (Class II director) effective May 11-12, 2026. Routine board expansion, not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -11.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -11%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2845% of revenueRule of 40: -2856 (fail)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.0
Conservative debt levels
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.85Resistance $11.05

Price Targets

$9
$13
A.Upside+34.2%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.71: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.03. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.03 (+34.2% upside). Prior stop was $9.03. Stop-loss: $9.03.

What are the risks of investing in AVR?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: DurAVR® THV System; Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -4.6%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.06% of cap).

Is AVR overvalued or undervalued?

Anteris Technologies Global Cor trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVR?

8 analysts cover AVR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Anteris Technologies Global Cor do?Anteris Technologies is a clinical-stage structural heart company developing the DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic,...

Anteris Technologies is a clinical-stage structural heart company developing the DurAVR THV System, a biomimetic, single-piece transcatheter aortic valve designed to treat aortic stenosis by replicating normal blood flow. More than 130 patients have been implanted worldwide as of December 2025, and the company is running its global pivotal PARADIGM Trial under an FDA Investigational Device Exemption covering an initial 200 patients. Anteris reported a $94.2 million net loss in 2025 against a $370.5 million accumulated deficit.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · MMSI (Merit Medical Systems, Inc.) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.)
Home Stocks AVR

Latest news

No recent news