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STAASTAAR Surgical CompanyHold6.7·$24.61
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

STAAR Surgical is growing 111% YoY with elite cash conversion and a wide moat, but it depends on a single product sold 91% outside the US, and the $24.07 analyst target is only 6.5% above the $22.61 price.

Thesis pillars

  • Hyper Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Elite Cash Conversion Moat→Stable
  • Single Product Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

STAAR Surgical Company (STAA) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (91.0%); Concentration risk — Product: ICLs (100.0%).

STAAR Surgical designs, manufactures, and sells Implantable Collamer Lenses (ICLs) — a proprietary lens-based alternative to LASIK for correcting myopia, hyperopia, astigmatism, and presbyopia — marketed under the EVO and Visian brands in more than 85 countries. ICLs accounted... Read more

$24.61-2.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 29 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.24%
Stop $22.89Analyst target $24.07(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$27.67+12.4%9 analysts
$24.61price
$27.67mean
$19
$37

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (91.0%); Concentration risk — Product: ICLs (100.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About STAAR Surgical Company

About STAAR Surgical Company

STAAR Surgical generated $239.4 million in net sales for fiscal 2025, a 23.7 percent decline from $313.9 million in fiscal 2024, with Implantable Collamer Lenses (ICLs) accounting for approximately 100 percent of total sales. The company's EVO ICL is the only posterior chamber phakic intraocular lens approved by the FDA for sale in the U.S., and STAAR has sold more than 4,000,000 ICLs worldwide since 1997. Activities outside the United States generated 91 percent of 2025 sales, with China distributors alone contributing 32 percent.

STAAR sells directly through its own sales force in Japan, the U.S., Germany, Spain, Singapore, Canada, and the U.K., and through independent distributors — including exclusive China distributors — elsewhere across more than 85 countries. ICLs are manufactured primarily at STAAR's Monrovia, California facility, with production capacity expanding at a second site in Nidau, Switzerland to provide tariff and disruption optionality; some raw materials are single-sourced due to regulatory, cost, and vendor-reliability constraints. STAAR's ICL technology competes primarily against laser-based refractive procedures marketed by Alcon, Johnson & Johnson, Bausch Health, and Carl Zeiss Meditec, and secondarily against other phakic implantable lenses from Biotech Vision Care, Care Group, Eyebright, and Ophtec.

Show full overview

STAAR's China exposure carries both a demand-cycle and a regulatory-pathway dimension: China distributors accounted for 32 percent of fiscal 2025 net sales, down from 51.7 percent in fiscal 2024 after distributors worked through elevated inventory built up ahead of an anticipated 2024 high season that underperformed. Layered on top, China's evolving medical device regulations — including volume-based procurement programs that can compress device pricing — and the dueling tariff actions announced in early 2025 pushed STAAR to negotiate consignment inventory arrangements and accelerate Swiss manufacturing capacity as an alternative to further U.S.-China trade escalation.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From STAAR Surgical Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: ICLs (100.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)307.6
P/E (Fwd)22.1
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA21.9
Profit Mgn1.1%
ROE1.1%
Rev Growth111.0%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States91%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Activities outside the U.S. accounted for approximately 91% of our total sales during 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerChina distributors32%
    10-K Item 1: 'Two customers, our China distributors who sell into China and Hong Kong, accounted for approximately 32% of our consolidated net sales during fiscal 2025.'
  • HIGHProductICLs100%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales of ICLs accounted for approximately 100% of our total sales in fiscal 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced raw materials
    10-K Item 1: 'Some of our raw materials are single-sourced due to regulatory constraints, cost effectiveness, availability, quality, and vendor reliability issues.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved Amendment No. 2 to the Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan at the 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing reserved shares by 3,900,000; a routine equity-plan action, not a departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-09Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee raised Interim Co-CEO and CFO Deborah Andrews' base salary from $512,000 to $575,000 and target bonus from 55% to 60% of base, effective June 8, 2026; a routine compensation adjustment, not a departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
3.7
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.06Resistance $24.99

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STAA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (91.0%); Concentration risk — Product: ICLs (100.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $24.07 reached (−2.2%), stop $22.89 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STAA stock price target?

Analyst target $24.07 reached (−2.2% from $24.61); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $24.07 reached (−2.2%), stop $22.89 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $22.89.

What are the risks of investing in STAA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (91.0%); Concentration risk — Product: ICLs (100.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is STAA overvalued or undervalued?

STAAR Surgical Company trades at a P/E of 307.6 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STAA?

18 analysts cover STAA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $28.

What does STAAR Surgical Company do?STAAR Surgical designs, manufactures, and sells Implantable Collamer Lenses (ICLs) — a proprietary lens-based...

STAAR Surgical designs, manufactures, and sells Implantable Collamer Lenses (ICLs) — a proprietary lens-based alternative to LASIK for correcting myopia, hyperopia, astigmatism, and presbyopia — marketed under the EVO and Visian brands in more than 85 countries. ICLs accounted for approximately 100% of fiscal 2025 net sales of $239.4 million, with 91% of sales generated outside the United States and China distributors alone contributing 32%. STAAR's proprietary Collamer biomaterial is exclusive to the company.

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