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ARQQArqit Quantum Inc.Sell4.6·$23.88-17.23%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Arqit Quantum is a speculative, cash-burning quantum-security name whose quality score sits below the engine's floor, but a momentum recovery, industry-leading growth rank, and steep implied upside keep bulls interested despite elevated short interest and volatility.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Engine FloorStable
  • Industry Growth LeadershipStable
  • Death Cross Recovery MomentumStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.88: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 7.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.38; Below-average business quality.

Arqit Quantum Inc. provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United Kingdom. The company offers QuantumCloud, a platform as a service that creates unbreakable software encryption keys. It also provides maintenance and support, and... Read more

$23.88+116.9% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#103 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.81%
Stop $21.87Target $51.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 7.8:1
Analyst target$60.00+151.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.88: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 7.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-22.2
Mkt Cap$409M
EV/EBITDA-7.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-220.2%
Rev Growth829.9%
Beta2.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV159%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Volatile — 18.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.9
Beta
2.6
Put Call
4.2
Days To Cover
8.4
High short interest justified: 16%High IV: 159%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
3.9
Bollinger
4.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
5.9
Current Ratio
8.1
Cash-burning: FCF -1814% of revenueNo competitive moat
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5A.R:R 7.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.80Resistance $30.98

Price Targets

$22
$51
A.Upside+113.6%
A.R:R7.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ARQQ.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARQQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.88: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 7.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $21.87. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARQQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.00 (+116.9% upside). Prior stop was $21.87. Stop-loss: $21.87.

What are the risks of investing in ARQQ?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8).

Is ARQQ overvalued or undervalued?

Arqit Quantum Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -22.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARQQ?

7 analysts cover ARQQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Arqit Quantum Inc. do?Arqit Quantum Inc. provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United Kingdom....

Arqit Quantum Inc. provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United Kingdom. The company offers QuantumCloud, a platform as a service that creates unbreakable software encryption keys. It also provides maintenance and support, and professional services. The company has a strategic collaboration with RAD for the development of a joint quantum-safe encryption solution for telecom networks. The company is based in London, the United Kingdom.

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