Amphenol Corporation (APH) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Technology · Electronic Components
Wait for pullback to $134.56. At $158.03 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.56 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. markets (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply.
Amphenol Corporation designs and manufactures electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors, interconnect systems, antennas, sensors, and cable across three segments globally. Approximately 65% of 2025 net sales came from non-U.S. markets, with IT datacom (including AI)... Read more
Wait for pullback to $134.56. At $158.03 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.56 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. markets (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.32, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.4/10). Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Amphenol Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Amphenol shares rise on record Q1 results and strong Q2 guidance tied to data-center demand - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Amphenol’s (NYSE:APH) Q1 CY2026: Beats On Revenue, Stock Soars - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Amphenol (APH) Shares Jump Over 7% After Strong Q1 Earnings Repo - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Amphenol surges after strong Q1 results, guidance (APH:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Amphenol (APH) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. markets65%10-K Item 1A: 'non-U.S. markets constituted approximately 65% of the Company's net sales, with China constituting approximately 16% of the Company's net sales'
- LOWGeographicChina16%10-K Item 1A: 'China constituting approximately 16% of the Company's net sales'
- MEDIUMProductIT datacom market36%10-K Item 1: 'Sales into the IT datacom market represented approximately 36% of the Company’s net sales in 2025'
- HIGHSuppliersingle source of supply10-K Item 1A: 'In limited instances, we depend on a single source of supply ... and for some components, alternative sources may not exist'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $134.56. At $158.03 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $134.56 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. markets (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.32, quality 7.7/10, growth 8.4/10). Target $164.95 (+4.4%), stop $121.06 (−30.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $164.95 (+17.2% upside). Target $164.95 (+4.4%), stop $121.06 (−30.5%), Setup A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $121.06.
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. markets (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply; Thin upside margin: 4.3%.
Amphenol Corporation trades at a P/E of 44.2 (forward 27.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
24 analysts cover APH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $183.
What does Amphenol Corporation do?Amphenol Corporation designs and manufactures electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors, interconnect systems,...
Amphenol Corporation designs and manufactures electrical, electronic, and fiber optic connectors, interconnect systems, antennas, sensors, and cable across three segments globally. Approximately 65% of 2025 net sales came from non-U.S. markets, with IT datacom (including AI) representing roughly 36% of net sales; no single customer accounted for 10% or more of sales.