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APAMArtisan Partners Asset ManagemeBuy Wait6.1·$37.91-4.51%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Artisan Partners is a high-quality asset management franchise generating 23% operating margins, a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, and three quarters of earnings beats — but the stock is currently trading roughly 10% above analyst consensus price targets in a confirmed falling-knife technical configuration, creating a challenging near-term setup despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Margin ProfileStable
  • Stock Above Analyst ConsensusDeteriorating
  • Falling Knife Technical ConfigurationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Artisan Partners Asset Manageme (APAM) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueQualityHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $36.86. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $37.91. Engine's entry $36.86 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61%... Read more

$37.91-11.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#56 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.82%
IncomeYield8.72%(5y avg 7.70%)Payout81.29%at-risk
Entry $36.86(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $34.57Target $43.38(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$39.50+4.2%4 analysts
$43.38our TP
$37.91price
$39.50mean
$35
$45

Wait for pullback to $36.86. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $37.91. Engine's entry $36.86 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 23, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-11.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn24.1%
ROE64.6%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.66
Dividend8.72%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV242%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicnon-U.S. company strategies48%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 48% of our AUM were invested in strategies that primarily invest in securities of non-U.S. companies'
  • LOWCustomerlargest separate account12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest separate account relationship representing approximately 12% of our AUM'
  • LOWCustomertwo largest intermediary relationships9.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest intermediary relationships across multiple distribution channels each represented approximately 9% of our total AUM'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.49Resistance $44.27

Price Targets

$35
$37
$43
A.Upside-11.4%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.4% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APAM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $36.86. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $37.91. Engine's entry $36.86 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 23, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-11.4% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $43.38 (+14.4%), stop $34.57 (−9.7%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the APAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.38 (-11.4% upside). Target $43.38 (+14.4%), stop $34.57 (−9.7%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $34.57.

What are the risks of investing in APAM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is APAM overvalued or undervalued?

Artisan Partners Asset Manageme trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APAM?

9 analysts cover APAM with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Artisan Partners Asset Manageme do?Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and...

Artisan Partners Asset Management, founded in 1994, manages $179.9 billion in AUM across active equity, credit, and alternative investment strategies globally via an autonomous team structure. Revenue comes almost entirely from investment management fees on average AUM, with 61% of assets sourced through intermediated wealth channels and 39% through institutional channels.

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