Value
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.1 |
| P/S | 7.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.0 |
| PEG | 4.7 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 24.9x
- ▸PEG: 1.83
AMZN · Why this verdict
Why Amazon.com (AMZN) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.1 |
| ROA | 4.6 |
| Gross margin | 6.1 |
| Op margin | 5.3 |
| Net margin | 6.1 |
| Current ratio | 4.5 |
| FCF quality | 0.9 |
| Moat | 8.2 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 11% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
8.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 6.7 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
2.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.1 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 1.0 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.2 |
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 8.4 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 27%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $51,614,259 (0.002% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 2.5 |
| quality rank | 7.2 |
| growth rank | 5.6 |
Technical
9.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.3 |
| 52w position | 7.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.5 |
| days to cover | 8.6 |
| volatility | 5.0 |
| put call | 5.2 |
| implied vol | 5.9 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.2 |
| debt equity | 7.8 |
- ▸Above max pain $200
Catalyst
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.88
Upside
+17.2%
Downside
6.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.44>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.5 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 9.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.8<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.88 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 9.0, Growth at 8.3, and Catalyst at 7.6; the weakest are Momentum at 2.8, Peer rank at 3.8, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.88 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.