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AGIAlamos Gold Inc.Sell6.8·$37.38+6.19%
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Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.38: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.8/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.49; Below long-term trend.

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

$37.38+27.9% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#14 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.04%
IncomeYield0.45%(5y avg 0.78%)Payout4.58%sustainable
Stop $34.76Target $47.81(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$56.25+50.5%4 analysts
$47.81our TP
$37.38price
$56.25mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.38: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.8/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.49; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Alamos Gold Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.0
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$14.8B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn51.2%
ROE25.9%
Rev Growth79.2%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.49bearish
IV88%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.84Resistance $41.36

Price Targets

$35
$48
A.Upside+27.9%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.38: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.8/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.49; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $34.76. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.81 (+27.9% upside). Prior stop was $34.76. Stop-loss: $34.76.

What are the risks of investing in AGI?

Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Is AGI overvalued or undervalued?

Alamos Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGI?

15 analysts cover AGI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Alamos Gold Inc. do?Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company...

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)
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