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Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp (ZWS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions designs and manufactures specification-driven plumbing and water management products for institutional and commercial buildings, primarily in North America via 21 manufacturing and warehouse facilities. Revenue comes from product sales through ~1,000... Read more

$51.70+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 5 Pollution & Treatment Controls
Stop $48.39Target $52.68(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$56.22+8.7%9 analysts
$52.68our TP
$51.70price
$56.22mean
$65

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.2
P/E (Fwd)27.0
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn12.3%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth11.4%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.85%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop five customers38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top five customers accounted for approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales, with one customer accounting for 18% of consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerthree largest independent distributors32%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our three largest independent distributors generated approximately 32% of our consolidated net sales with the largest accounting for 18% of consolidated net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.53Resistance $53.76

Price Targets

$48
$53
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZWS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $51.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $48.39. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZWS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.68 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $48.39. Stop-loss: $48.39.

What are the risks of investing in ZWS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away); Expensive valuation.

Is ZWS overvalued or undervalued?

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp trades at a P/E of 42.2 (forward 27.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZWS?

15 analysts cover ZWS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp do?Zurn Elkay Water Solutions designs and manufactures specification-driven plumbing and water management products for...

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions designs and manufactures specification-driven plumbing and water management products for institutional and commercial buildings, primarily in North America via 21 manufacturing and warehouse facilities. Revenue comes from product sales through ~1,000 independent sales reps; the top 5 customers represented ~38% and the top 3 distributors ~32% of 2025 consolidated net sales.

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