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CECOCECO Environmental Corp.Sell5.2·$94.51-0.98%
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CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.51: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality.

CECO Environmental is an environmentally focused industrial company serving industrial air, industrial water, and energy transition markets globally through Engineered Systems and Industrial Process Solutions segments. Backlog of $793M at end of 2025; executing planned merger... Read more

$94.51+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 4 Pollution & Treatment Controls
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.32%
Stop $87.69Target $99.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$98.60+4.3%5 analysts
$99.22our TP
$94.51price
$98.60mean
$85
$117

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.51: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(7), earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About CECO Environmental Corp.

About CECO Environmental Corp.

CECO Environmental's order backlog reached $793.1 million at December 31, 2025, up 46.6% from $540.9 million at year-end 2024, with substantially all expected to deliver within 18-24 months. The company employs approximately 520 engineers, designers, solution experts, and project managers globally, with 34% of 2025 revenues generated outside the United States, serving power generation, hydrocarbon processing, semiconductor, and other industrial end markets through two reportable segments.

CECO earns revenue primarily from fixed-price contracts for engineered systems covering emissions management, separation and filtration, industrial air quality control, and water treatment. Materials, wages, and subcontracting costs are the largest cost components; raw steel, steel-related components, resin, and filtration media are key inputs, with steel prices traditionally volatile. Fixed-price contracts expose CECO to cost overrun risk when actual project costs exceed estimates. Subcontractors perform the majority of manufacturing for international customers, while direct sales teams operate in the US, Netherlands, UK, Germany, Canada, UAE, India, China, South Korea, and Singapore. No single customer contributed 10% or more of consolidated revenues for 2025, 2024, or 2023.

Show full overview

CECO entered the Agreement and Plan of Merger to acquire Thermon Group Holdings on February 23, 2026, consummating the transaction June 1, 2026 per Form 8-K, funded partly through existing and committed credit facilities alongside $214.2 million in pre-existing indebtedness at December 31, 2025. Integration costs are expected to be significant, including legal, accounting, and financial advisory expenses. Goodwill and indefinite-lived intangibles already totaled $297.9 million, or 33.3% of total assets, at December 31, 2025; the Thermon acquisition may increase that balance materially, adding impairment risk if integration challenges or business conditions weigh on projected cash flows.

See also: Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

From CECO Environmental Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10

Recent Developments — CECO Environmental Corp.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 2.01: On June 1, 2026, CECO Environmental consummated the previously announced merger with Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. Thermon merged with and into Longhorn Merger Sub LLC, a direct wholly-owned subsidiary of CECO, as the surviving entity.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst Cluster(7) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-9.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)251.2
P/E (Fwd)39.0
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA42.6
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE5.4%
Rev Growth16.5%
Beta1.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV85%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicrevenues outside the United States34%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 34% of our 2025 revenues are outside the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.8
Operating Margin
2.4
Roa
2.5
Gross Margin
2.7
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
5.0
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
2.5
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(7)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.14Resistance $101.24

Price Targets

$88
$99
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CECO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $94.51: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $87.69. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $99.22 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $87.69. Stop-loss: $87.69.

What are the risks of investing in CECO?

Target reached (-9.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is CECO overvalued or undervalued?

CECO Environmental Corp. trades at a P/E of 251.2 (forward 39.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CECO?

11 analysts cover CECO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $99.

What does CECO Environmental Corp. do?CECO Environmental is an environmentally focused industrial company serving industrial air, industrial water, and...

CECO Environmental is an environmentally focused industrial company serving industrial air, industrial water, and energy transition markets globally through Engineered Systems and Industrial Process Solutions segments. Backlog of $793M at end of 2025; executing planned merger with Thermon Group Holdings (announced Feb 2026). Approximately 34% of 2025 revenues from outside the United States.

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