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Expro Group Holdings N.V. (XPRO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away).

Expro Group is an international oilfield services company providing well construction, well flow management, subsea well access, and well intervention/integrity services in 50+ countries, with ~8,500 employees. FY2025 revenue of $1.607B was spread across NLA (34.7%), ESSA... Read more

$18.17+12.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#22 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Entry $15.89(support + ATR)Stop $15.11Target $17.90(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$17.60-3.1%5 analysts
$17.90our TP
$18.17price
$17.60mean
$16
$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $18.17 has reached target $17.90. No upside to wait for. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.0% away)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.09% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.5
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth-12.5%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited third party suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our product lines depend on a limited number of third party suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.5

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Price Target
4.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-32.9%)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
9.4
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.58Resistance $18.27

Price Targets

$15
$16
$18
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.7% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XPRO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $18.17 has reached target $17.90. No upside to wait for. Target $17.90 (-1.5%), stop $15.11 (−20.3%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XPRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.90 (+12.6% upside). Target $17.90 (-1.5%), stop $15.11 (−20.3%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $15.11.

What are the risks of investing in XPRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.09% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is XPRO overvalued or undervalued?

Expro Group Holdings N.V. trades at a P/E of 40.5 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about XPRO?

10 analysts cover XPRO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Expro Group Holdings N.V. do?Expro Group is an international oilfield services company providing well construction, well flow management, subsea...

Expro Group is an international oilfield services company providing well construction, well flow management, subsea well access, and well intervention/integrity services in 50+ countries, with ~8,500 employees. FY2025 revenue of $1.607B was spread across NLA (34.7%), ESSA (30.3%), MENA (22.6%), and APAC (12.4%) geographic segments.

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