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WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.Sell4.6·$42.27
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Essential Utilities is a regulated water utility with 3 of 4 recent quarters beating expectations and rising earnings estimates, but its free cash flow is deeply negative at -117% of net income, the put/call ratio has spiked to 6.33, and the stock trades above its analyst target — creating an unfavorable entry profile despite regulatory revenue stability.

Thesis pillars

  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality→Stable
  • Elevated Options Put Call Ratio→Stable
  • Earnings Beat With Rising Estimates→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away).

Essential Utilities, Inc., referred to as "Essential Utilities", "Essential", the "Company", "we", "us", or "our", a Pennsylvania corporation, is the holding company for regulated utilities providing water, wastewater, or natural gas services to an estimated 5.5 million people... Read more

$42.27-15.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#9 of 9 Utilities - Regulated Water
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-5.48%
IncomeYield3.38%(5y avg 2.92%)Payout69.92%
Stop $40.55Analyst target $35.84(reached)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst consensus$41.20-2.5%5 analysts
$42.27price
$41.20mean
$38
$47

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.1% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.3
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$12.0B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta0.62
Dividend3.38%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$35-17.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
3.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.19Resistance $43.61

Price Targets

A.Upside-15.2%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTRG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.27 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $40.55. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WTRG stock price target?

Analyst target $35.84 reached (−15.2% from $42.27); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $40.55. Stop-loss: $40.55.

What are the risks of investing in WTRG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is WTRG overvalued or undervalued?

Essential Utilities, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.3 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WTRG?

13 analysts cover WTRG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Essential Utilities, Inc. do?Essential Utilities, Inc., referred to as "Essential Utilities", "Essential", the "Company", "we", "us", or "our", a...

Essential Utilities, Inc., referred to as "Essential Utilities", "Essential", the "Company", "we", "us", or "our", a Pennsylvania corporation, is the holding company for regulated utilities providing water, wastewater, or natural gas services to an estimated 5.5 million people in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, Illinois, North Carolina, New Jersey, Indiana, Virginia, and Kentucky under the Aqua and Peoples brands.

Related stocks: CWT (California Water Service Group) · AWR (American States Water Company) · SBS (Companhia de saneamento Basico ) · HTO (H2O America) · AWK (American Water Works Company, I)
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