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American Water Works Company, I (AWK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

American Water is the largest publicly-traded water and wastewater utility in the US, serving ~14 million people in 24 states through regulated subsidiaries with 3.6 million active customers. Regulated Businesses generated $4,723 million in revenues in 2025, accounting for 92%... Read more

$127.27+7.5% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#5 of 6 Utilities - Regulated Water
Stop $122.34Target $136.83(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$139.45+9.6%11 analysts
$136.83our TP
$127.27price
$139.45mean
$124
$155

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$25.1B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.73
Dividend2.71%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.75bearish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
3.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $126.12Resistance $139.62

Price Targets

$122
$137
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AWK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $122.34. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AWK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $136.83 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $122.34. Stop-loss: $122.34.

What are the risks of investing in AWK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is AWK overvalued or undervalued?

American Water Works Company, I trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AWK?

17 analysts cover AWK with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $139.

What does American Water Works Company, I do?American Water is the largest publicly-traded water and wastewater utility in the US, serving ~14 million people in 24...

American Water is the largest publicly-traded water and wastewater utility in the US, serving ~14 million people in 24 states through regulated subsidiaries with 3.6 million active customers. Regulated Businesses generated $4,723 million in revenues in 2025, accounting for 92% of total revenues, with a pending merger with Essential Utilities expected to close by end of Q1 2027.

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