Williams-Sonoma operates an elite-quality retail franchise with a return on equity of 54%, a perfect Piotroski score of 8/9, and four consecutive earnings beats — but the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.8x near its 52-week high with a highly concentrated e-commerce revenue stream that accounts for 65% of sales.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Profitability Returns→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Ecommerce Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 26, 2026
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $250.09 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: e-commerce sales (65.0%).
Williams-Sonoma sells premium home furnishings and kitchen products through nine brands—including Pottery Barn and West Elm—operating 506 company-owned stores in the US, Canada, Australia, and UK plus 90 franchised locations. About 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues came from... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $250.09 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: e-commerce sales (65.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
About Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
Williams-Sonoma generated approximately 65% of net revenues through e-commerce in fiscal 2025, spanning nine brands—including Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Williams Sonoma—sold through 506 company-operated stores and 90 franchised locations across four continents. The company employed approximately 19,800 people at February 1, 2026. The portfolio covers kitchen equipment, furniture, bedding, lighting, and décor across distinct customer demographics from families to teens.
The company sells proprietary home furnishings and kitchen products at retail through its e-commerce websites, retail stores, and direct-mail catalogs, plus a business-to-business division targeting commercial and hospitality clients. About 81% of merchandise purchases were sourced internationally in fiscal 2025—with China (19%), Vietnam (16%), and India (15%) as the three largest single-country sources—requiring ordering up to twelve months ahead of the selling season. The company also manufactures upholstered furniture and lighting at facilities in Mississippi, North Carolina, and Oregon. Competitors range from department stores and specialty retailers to discount e-commerce entrants selling undifferentiated products at reduced prices; the continued shift to e-commerce has lowered barriers for new market entrants. The Key Rewards loyalty and credit card program spans all nine brands, deepening repeat purchase relationships.
Show full overview
Williams-Sonoma's 506 retail stores are positioned as "billboards" and omni-fulfillment hubs rather than the primary transactional venue, with the 65% e-commerce concentration making digital demand the dominant revenue driver. The business-to-business division—targeting commercial furniture and hospitality verticals—exposes the company to clients' budget cycles and purchasing timing, which may diverge from consumer e-commerce trends. Inventory ordered up to twelve months in advance of peak season creates markdown exposure if consumer preferences shift before the October–January selling window.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
From Williams-Sonoma, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Williams-Sonoma, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Williams Sonoma (WSM) Stock May Be 16% Undervalued Following Kickback Scheme News - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
- NEWS Williams-Sonoma Stock Dips Despite Q2 Earnings and Revenue Beat - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS What's Going On With Williams-Sonoma Stock Wednesday? - Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) - Benzinga — Benzinga neutral
- NEWS Williams-Sonoma Stock Dips Despite Q2 Earnings and Revenue Beat - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Williams-Sonoma Stock Dips Despite Q2 Earnings and Revenue Beat - TradingView — TradingView positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProducte-commerce sales65%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 65% of our net revenues were generated by e-commerce sales in fiscal 2025'
- LOWSupplierChina10-K Item 1: 'merchandise purchases were sourced from foreign suppliers, with approximately 19% from China'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $250.09 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: e-commerce sales (65.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $237.31. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $223.60 reached (−10.6% from $250.09); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $237.31. Stop-loss: $237.31.
Concentration risk — Product: e-commerce sales (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 23.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover WSM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $248.
What does Williams-Sonoma, Inc. do?Williams-Sonoma sells premium home furnishings and kitchen products through nine brands—including Pottery Barn and West...
Williams-Sonoma sells premium home furnishings and kitchen products through nine brands—including Pottery Barn and West Elm—operating 506 company-owned stores in the US, Canada, Australia, and UK plus 90 franchised locations. About 65% of fiscal 2025 revenues came from e-commerce. In-house product design and a proprietary customer database underpin the company's omni-channel model.