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VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.Sell4.9·$43.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Village Super Market screens as statistically cheap but fails the quality floor, with weak margins, inconsistent earnings, and insider selling offsetting supportive price momentum - a value name whose re-rating depends on margin stabilization rather than growth.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Price Momentum Despite Weak Fundamentals→Stable
  • Quality Score Below Investment Floor→Stable
  • Attractive Relative Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Oct 8, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Village Super Market, Inc. (VLGEA) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.22: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Village Super Market operates 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in New Jersey, New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania plus three Gourmet Garage specialty markets in New York City, and is the second largest member of the Wakefern Food Corporation cooperative, which supplies its... Read more

$43.22+5.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#7 of 10 Grocery Stores
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.57%
IncomeYield2.32%(5y avg 3.37%)Payout28.25%sustainable
Stop $41.17Resistance target $45.60A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.22: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Village Super Market, Inc.

About Village Super Market, Inc.

Village operates 34 supermarkets in New Jersey (26), New York (6), Maryland (1) and Pennsylvania (1) under the ShopRite and Fairway banners, plus three Gourmet Garage markets in New York City, for 37 stores in total as of July 25, 2026. Founded in 1937, the company employed approximately 7,100 people at fiscal year-end, about 70% of them part-time, and fiscal 2026 same store sales were $62,841 thousand per store.

Village earns revenue by selling groceries and related goods to consumers. Groceries made up 34.5% of fiscal 2026 sales, followed by dairy and frozen at 16.9%, produce at 13.3% and meats at 10.1%, and store and own branded products accounted for approximately 17% of sales. As the second largest member of Wakefern, the nation's largest retailer-owned food cooperative, Village owns 13.0% of Wakefern's stock and receives volume purchasing, distribution, advertising and the ShopRite, Fairway and Gourmet Garage trademarks. Nineteen of its stores exceed 60,000 square feet, 21 have in-store pharmacies, and a centralized commissary supplies deli, bakery and prepared foods. The 10-K lists Acme, Aldi, Costco, Stop & Shop, Wegmans and Walmart among principal competitors, and describes grocery as a narrow-margin industry. Approximately 91% of employees are covered by collective bargaining agreements with seven unions, with about 12% of associates under contracts that have expired or expire within one year.

Show full overview

Wakefern is both the company's engine and its largest dependency. Each member must buy a minimum of 85% of its requirements for Wakefern-offered products from Wakefern, and the shareholders' agreement carries change-of-control payments tied to profit contribution shortfalls. Wakefern may also refuse to sell to, or repurchase stock from, a member under specified circumstances such as bankruptcy or material breach. The 10-K states that a material change in Wakefern's method of operation or a termination of the relationship could have an adverse impact and involve additional expense. Store geography adds a second angle, since 26 of 34 supermarkets sit in New Jersey.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

From Village Super Market, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Village Super Market, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Dec 1, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Wakefern
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$640M
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.43
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierWakefern
    10-K Item 1: 'Each member is obligated to purchase from Wakefern a minimum of 85% of its requirements for products offered by Wakefern.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNew Jersey
    10-K Item 1: 'Village operates a chain of 34 supermarkets in New Jersey (26), New York (6), Maryland (1) and Pennsylvania (1)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Volume
2.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
1.1
Net Margin
1.1
Gross Margin
1.6
Roa
2.6
Roe
3.4
Current Ratio
4.4
Moat
4.5
Fcf Quality
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.44Resistance $46.53

Price Targets

$41
$46
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-01 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VLGEA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.22: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.17. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VLGEA stock price target?

Resistance target: $45.60 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $41.17. Stop-loss: $41.17.

What are the risks of investing in VLGEA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Wakefern; Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap).

Is VLGEA overvalued or undervalued?

Village Super Market, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Village Super Market, Inc. do?Village Super Market operates 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in New Jersey, New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania...

Village Super Market operates 34 ShopRite and Fairway supermarkets in New Jersey, New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania plus three Gourmet Garage specialty markets in New York City, and is the second largest member of the Wakefern Food Corporation cooperative, which supplies its products and brand names. About 7,100 employees work in the stores, and groceries were 34.5% of sales in fiscal 2026. Members must buy at least 85% of their Wakefern-offered requirements from Wakefern.

Related stocks: YSWY (Yesway, Inc.) · SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.) · NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott) · IMKTA (Ingles Markets, Incorporated) · WMK (Weis Markets, Inc.)
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