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WAYWaystar Holding Corp.Hold6.4·$19.48+2.66%
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Waystar Holding Corp. (WAY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Health Information Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Waystar provides cloud-based, AI-powered healthcare payments software to 30,000+ clients representing 1+ million providers, processing 7.5 billion transactions ($2.4T in annual gross claims) for revenue cycle management, eligibility, prior auth, denials, and patient payments.... Read more

$19.48+55.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 12 Health Information Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.00%
Stop $18.15Target $30.44(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.4:1
Analyst target$33.83+73.6%23 analysts
$30.44our TP
$19.48price
$33.83mean
$44

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth22.4%
Beta0.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.89bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$50+156.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.9
Support Resistance
6.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
8.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.89Resistance $21.96

Price Targets

$18
$30
A.Upside+56.3%
A.R:R5.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WAY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 50. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.44 (+56.3%), stop $18.15 (−7.3%), A.R:R 5.4:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.44 (+55.9% upside). Target $30.44 (+56.3%), stop $18.15 (−7.3%), A.R:R 5.4:1. Stop-loss: $18.15.

What are the risks of investing in WAY?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is WAY overvalued or undervalued?

Waystar Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WAY?

28 analysts cover WAY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Waystar Holding Corp. do?Waystar provides cloud-based, AI-powered healthcare payments software to 30,000+ clients representing 1+ million...

Waystar provides cloud-based, AI-powered healthcare payments software to 30,000+ clients representing 1+ million providers, processing 7.5 billion transactions ($2.4T in annual gross claims) for revenue cycle management, eligibility, prior auth, denials, and patient payments. Revenue is subscription-based with SaaS fees and transaction-based charges; the top 10 clients represent only 10.8% of total revenue.

Related stocks: HQY (HealthEquity, Inc.) · HNGE (Hinge Health, Inc.) · VEEV (Veeva Systems Inc.) · PRVA (Privia Health Group, Inc.) · TEM (Tempus AI, Inc.)
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