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HNGEHinge Health, Inc.Sell6.3·$67.23+2.89%
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Hinge Health, Inc. (HNGE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Health Information Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.23 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Health Care Service Corporation (17.5%).

Hinge Health is a digital musculoskeletal (MSK) care platform serving self-insured employers and health plans, using AI-powered motion tracking and licensed physical therapists to treat joint and muscle conditions remotely. Revenue is generated on a per-member engagement basis,... Read more

$67.23+2.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 12 Health Information Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield8.84%
Stop $62.52Target $69.12(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$76.80+14.2%15 analysts
$69.12our TP
$67.23price
$76.80mean
$55
$125

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.23 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Health Care Service Corporation (17.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Health Care Service Corporation (17.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA-9.4
Profit Mgn-78.9%
ROE-136.0%
Rev Growth47.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$30-55.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerHealth Care Service Corporation18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'client contracts through (i) Health Care Service Corporation ("HCSC") accounted for 17.5% and 17.1% of our revenue, respectively'
  • MEDIUMCustomerElevance Health, Inc.14%
    10-K Item 1A: '(ii) Elevance Health, Inc., formerly known as Anthem, Inc. ("Elevance"), accounted for 13.7% and 14.0% of our revenue, respectively'
  • MEDIUMCustomerAetna Life Insurance Company11%
    10-K Item 1A: '(iii) Aetna Life Insurance Company ("Aetna") accounted for 10.5% and 11.6% of our revenue, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOW
    Tyler Sloat appointed as Class I director effective March 16, 2026, serving as Chair of Compensation Committee and member of Audit Committee. Mr. Sloat is COO of Freshworks Inc. No officer departure involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.25Resistance $68.58

Price Targets

$63
$69
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HNGE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.23 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Health Care Service Corporation (17.5%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $62.52. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HNGE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.12 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $62.52. Stop-loss: $62.52.

What are the risks of investing in HNGE?

Concentration risk — Customer: Health Care Service Corporation (17.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.5% away).

Is HNGE overvalued or undervalued?

Hinge Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HNGE?

22 analysts cover HNGE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $77.

What does Hinge Health, Inc. do?Hinge Health is a digital musculoskeletal (MSK) care platform serving self-insured employers and health plans, using...

Hinge Health is a digital musculoskeletal (MSK) care platform serving self-insured employers and health plans, using AI-powered motion tracking and licensed physical therapists to treat joint and muscle conditions remotely. Revenue is generated on a per-member engagement basis, primarily through contracts with large national health plans acting as channel partners. Client contracts through partners accounted for 82% of revenue in 2025, with HCSC at 17.5%, Elevance at 13.7%, and Aetna at 10.5%.

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