Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.4 |
| P/S | 8.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.2 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.29
- ▸Attractively valued
WAY · Why this verdict
Why Waystar Holding (WAY) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.2 |
| ROA | 2.2 |
| Gross margin | 9.7 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 5.5 |
| Current ratio | 6.3 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Rule of 40 | 8.3 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 260% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 51 (pass)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
8.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.1 |
| EPS growth | 9.5 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.2 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 9.8 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 69%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.5 |
| quality rank | 5.3 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
Technical
2.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.0 |
| support resistance | 4.8 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.1 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| debt equity | 8.5 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.09
- ▸High IV: 90%
Catalyst
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:5.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
4.95
Upside
+52.2%
Downside
10.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.8B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:5.0>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.8; weakest: Technical at 2.9. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.8, Sentiment at 8.2, and Value at 7.9; the weakest are Technical at 2.9, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.4, and Momentum at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.95 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.