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WASHWashington Trust Bancorp, Inc.Sell4.9·$34.99-2.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Washington Trust Bancorp shows a golden-cross breakout riding an earnings catalyst and notable insider buying, but the engine's asymmetry gate has failed after the analyst target was reached, revenue is declining, and a yield trap warning tempers the dividend-driven bull case.

Thesis pillars

  • Golden Cross Breakout Into Earnings CatalystStable
  • Negative Asymmetry After Target ReachedStable
  • Declining Revenue Weak GrowthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. (WASH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $34.99, A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: southern New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (54.0%).

Washington Trust Bancorp is the holding company for Washington Trust Company, a Rhode Island bank founded in 1800 offering commercial, mortgage, personal banking, and wealth management across Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Massachusetts. As of December 31, 2025 it held $6.6... Read more

$34.99+3.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#214 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield6.29%(5y avg 6.42%)Payout81.75%at-risk
Stop $33.31Target $36.26(resistance)A.R:R -3.7:1
Analyst target$33.50-4.3%4 analysts
$36.26our TP
$34.99price
$33.50mean
$31
$36

Sell if holding. At $34.99, A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: southern New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (54.0%). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc.

About Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc.

Washington Trust Bancorp held $6.6 billion in total assets, $5.3 billion in deposits, and $543.6 million in shareholders' equity as of December 31, 2025, operating through Washington Trust Company across Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Massachusetts. The Bank, chartered in 1800 and headquartered in Westerly, is regulated by the FDIC and the Rhode Island Division of Banking, with the holding company additionally supervised by the Federal Reserve, and employed 642 full-time-equivalent people.

Washington Trust's $5.1 billion loan book, 78% of total assets, splits 54% commercial (43% commercial real estate, 11% C&I) and 40% residential real estate, with the remainder in consumer loans, mostly home equity products. The Bank funds this book primarily with $5.3 billion of deposits gathered around its 28 branch offices, supplemented by $626.0 million of Federal Home Loan Bank advances and wholesale brokered deposits; it also occasionally purchases commercial loan participations originated by other banks, which totaled $613.5 million at year-end. Beyond net interest income, wealth management services — $7.8 billion in assets under administration, held off-balance-sheet — represent Washington Trust's largest source of noninterest income, delivered through the Bank and its registered investment adviser subsidiary, WTA.

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Washington Trust's risk factors describe a specific vulnerability to its regional footprint: because the Bank cannot 'spread the risks of unfavorable local economic conditions across a large number of diversified economies,' a downturn confined to southern New England could simultaneously raise loan delinquencies, depress the real estate collateral securing a substantial portion of its loans, and reduce the net worth of loan guarantors. That risk is amplified by the loan book's tilt toward commercial credit — 54% of total loans — which the 10-K notes carries a higher risk of nonpayment than residential mortgages and remains exposed to lingering post-pandemic weakness in office-property demand.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: southern New England
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (54.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$688M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE9.9%
Rev Growth-7.0%
Beta0.72
Dividend6.29%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$18-50.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicsouthern New England
    10-K Item 1A: 'We primarily serve individuals and businesses located in southern New England, and a substantial portion of our loans are secured by properties in southern New England.'
  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loans54%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, commercial loans represented 54% of our loan portfolio.'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate (CRE) loans43%
    10-K Item 1: 'CRE loans represented 79% of the total commercial loan portfolio and 43% of the total loan portfolio.'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioresidential real estate loans40%
    10-K Item 1: 'The residential real estate loan portfolio consists of mortgage and homeowner construction loans secured by one- to four-family residential properties and represented 40% of total loans at December 31, 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
3.0
Declining revenue: -7%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
2.8
Value Rank
6.5
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -3.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.48Resistance $37.00

Price Targets

$33
$36
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WASH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.99, A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: southern New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (54.0%). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.31. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.26 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.31. Stop-loss: $33.31.

What are the risks of investing in WASH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: southern New England; Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loans (54.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is WASH overvalued or undervalued?

Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WASH?

10 analysts cover WASH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. do?Washington Trust Bancorp is the holding company for Washington Trust Company, a Rhode Island bank founded in 1800...

Washington Trust Bancorp is the holding company for Washington Trust Company, a Rhode Island bank founded in 1800 offering commercial, mortgage, personal banking, and wealth management across Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Massachusetts. As of December 31, 2025 it held $6.6 billion in assets, $5.3 billion in deposits, and $543.6 million in equity, with $5.1 billion in loans (78% of assets) split 54% commercial, 40% residential, 6% consumer.

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