Value
9.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.9 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 10.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 4.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.18
- ▸Attractively valued
VRRM · Why this verdict
Why Verra Mobility (VRRM) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 6.1 |
| Gross margin | 7.4 |
| Op margin | 9.3 |
| Net margin | 6.7 |
| Current ratio | 6.7 |
| FCF quality | 3.3 |
| Moat | 6.4 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 46%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 41% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.5 |
| EPS growth | 7.1 |
Momentum
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 6.2 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.4 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
| erm sentiment | 0.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 108%
- ▸Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-38.7%)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.9 |
| quality rank | 8.1 |
| growth rank | 2.4 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.6 |
| support resistance | 8.8 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.0 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 0.9 |
- ▸High IV: 180%
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 1.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.0 |
- ▸Estimates down -38.7% (30d)
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $0.71B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:5.4>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
5.40
Upside
+81.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $0.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 9.6 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:4.1<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.6, Quality at 7.2, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.7; the weakest are Momentum at 4.1, Catalyst at 4.2, and Peer rank at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.40 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.